shift_detection_summary

Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 24 of 24 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22

season_slug	n_teams	n_large_shifts	n_signaled	precision	recall	direction_accuracy	naive_mae_large	roster_mae_large	delta_mae_large	naive_mae_signaled	roster_mae_signaled	delta_mae_signaled	naive_mae_stable	roster_mae_stable
1999-00	4	0	3	0.0		0.333				2	6.33	-4.33	1	4
2000-01	8	1	4	0.25	1.0	1.0	5	8	-3	3.25	3	0.25	1.25	0.75
2001-02	14	4	2	0.5	0.25		5	4.75	0.25	3.5	3	0.5	1.22	0.89
2002-03	11	1	4	0.25	1.0	1.0	5	7	-2	2	3.25	-1.25	1.29	2
2003-04	12	3	4	0.25	0.333		6.67	8	-1.33	2.25	2.5	-0.25	1.33	1.17
2004-05	15	5	10	0.3	0.6	0.5	4.8	4.6	0.2	1.7	2.2	-0.5	1	1
2005-06	19	8	2	1.0	0.25	1.0	5.25	4.75	0.5	7.5	6.5	1.0	1.09	1.36
2006-07	20	7	9	0.333	0.429	0.333	7	7.14	-0.14	4	4.33	-0.33	1.86	1.71
2007-08	22	7	7	0.571	0.571	1.0	6.29	6	0.29	4.14	4	0.14	1.75	2.17
2008-09	22	4	5	0.0	0.0		6.5	6.25	0.25	1	0.4	0.6	1.23	1.77
2009-10	22	2	8	0.0	0.0		5	4	1	1.25	1.62	-0.37	2.17	2.08
2010-11	19	8	9	0.333	0.375	0.5	6.5	6.25	0.25	2.89	3.44	-0.55	0.8	1.4
2011-12	21	7	13	0.385	0.714		6	5.86	0.14	3.38	3.46	-0.08	1.17	1.33
2012-13	22	8	5	0.4	0.25	0.25	6.38	6.12	0.26	4.4	6.2	-1.8	1	1.18
2013-14	22	5	8	0.375	0.6	0.5	7.8	7.2	0.6	4.5	5.25	-0.75	1.75	2.17
2014-15	23	12	10	0.7	0.583	0.571	5.75	6.5	-0.75	4.3	5.7	-1.4	1.12	1.62
2015-16	28	16	5	0.4	0.125	0.667	7.5	7.69	-0.19	3.4	3.4	0.0	1.67	1.89
2016-17	32	20	12	0.5	0.3	0.444	8.75	8.45	0.3	3.92	3.75	0.17	1.5	1.67
2017-18	29	18	12	0.667	0.444	0.444	8.67	8.5	0.17	6.92	6.75	0.17	2.14	2
2020-21	33	25	17	0.824	0.56	0.562	9.8	9.64	0.16	8.18	8.24	-0.06	2.2	1.8
2021-22	33	23	10	0.7	0.304	0.444	10.48	10.3	0.18	8.8	8.8	0.0	2.14	1.86
2022-23	35	21	16	0.812	0.619	0.667	8.48	8.05	0.43	7.44	7.06	0.38	1.82	2.18
2023-24	35	17	22	0.455	0.588	0.632	6.41	5.59	0.82	3.77	3.09	0.68	1.5	1.33
2024-25	34	11	23	0.435	0.909	0.5	5.27	4.82	0.45	2.78	2.91	-0.13	2	2