schedule_shift_watchlist_2026
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 21 of 21 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| forecast_year | team_name | prior_finish_rank | recommended_rank | slot_rank | model_move | departure_loss_pct | returning_share | margin_rank | shift_slot_override | signal_codes | expected_direction | cluster_id | cluster_label |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Edwardsville | 37 | 32 | 32 | -5 | 6.2 | 0.725 | 8 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool;model_large_move_up | up | 1 | Tier 1 |
| 2026 | Belleville West | 38 | 34 | 34 | -4 | 9.5 | 0.565 | 33 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool;model_large_move_up | up | 5 | Tier 5 |
| 2026 | Webster Groves | 20 | 23 | 23 | 3 | 40.0 | 0.309 | 17 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2026 | Parkway Central | 23 | 21 | 21 | -2 | 14.5 | 0.726 | 3 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool | up | 1 | Tier 1 |
| 2026 | Fox High School | 33 | 31 | 31 | -2 | 21.4 | 0.575 | 10 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool | up | 2 | Tier 2 |
| 2026 | O'Fallon | 8 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 40.1 | 0.259 | 22 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;margin_overrated;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2026 | Lindbergh | 24 | 26 | 26 | 2 | 35.0 | 0.374 | 25 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild | down | 4 | Tier 4 |
| 2026 | Ladue Horton Watkins | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 37.2 | 0.359 | 6 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild | down | 1 | Tier 1 |
| 2026 | Clayton | 29 | 28 | 28 | -1 | 9.3 | 0.777 | 7 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool | up | 1 | Tier 1 |
| 2026 | St. Joseph's Academy | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 36.8 | 0.371 | 11 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;margin_overrated | down | 2 | Tier 2 |
| 2026 | Parkway South | 26 | 25 | 25 | -1 | 20.8 | 0.62 | 18 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool | up | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2026 | Parkway West | 12 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 30.1 | 0.311 | 23 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;margin_overrated;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2026 | Francis Howell | 17 | 16 | 16 | -1 | 38.4 | 0.315 | 26 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;margin_overrated;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 4 | Tier 4 |
| 2026 | Ursuline Academy | 19 | 20 | 20 | 1 | 38.4 | 0.268 | 30 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;margin_overrated;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 4 | Tier 4 |
| 2026 | Kirkwood | 22 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 13.5 | 0.51 | 16 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool | up | 2 | Tier 2 |
| 2026 | Incarnate Word | 30 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 36.1 | 0.307 | 34 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 5 | Tier 5 |
| 2026 | Northwest | 16 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 28.8 | 0.514 | 29 | no | margin_overrated | down | 4 | Tier 4 |
| 2026 | Marquette | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 30.8 | 0.513 | 14 | no | margin_overrated | down | 2 | Tier 2 |
| 2026 | St. Dominic | 14 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 21.6 | 0.548 | 20 | no | margin_overrated | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2026 | Wentzville | 15 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 27.4 | 0.466 | 24 | no | margin_overrated | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2026 | Nerinx Hall | 18 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19.1 | 0.576 | 28 | no | margin_overrated | down | 4 | Tier 4 |