schedule_shift_watchlist_2022
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 16 of 16 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| forecast_year | team_name | prior_finish_rank | recommended_rank | slot_rank | model_move | departure_loss_pct | returning_share | margin_rank | shift_slot_override | signal_codes | expected_direction | cluster_id | cluster_label |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | St. Dominic | 19 | 23 | 23 | 4 | 40.3 | 0.194 | 20 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;model_large_move_down;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2022 | Parkway West | 9 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 31.5 | 0.318 | 14 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;margin_overrated;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 2 | Tier 2 |
| 2022 | Notre Dame | 33 | 31 | 31 | -2 | 41.7 | 0.347 | 21 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2022 | Incarnate Word | 30 | 32 | 32 | 2 | 41.7 | 0.16 | 23 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2022 | Webster Groves | 25 | 27 | 27 | 2 | 29.7 | 0.005 | 31 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;margin_overrated;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 4 | Tier 4 |
| 2022 | Belleville West | 23 | 22 | 22 | -1 | 0.944 | 3 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool | up | 1 | Tier 1 | |
| 2022 | Ladue Horton Watkins | 5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 31.7 | 0.273 | 5 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 1 | Tier 1 |
| 2022 | Francis Howell | 14 | 13 | 13 | -1 | 13.7 | 0.666 | 7 | yes | sleeper_talent_pool | up | 1 | Tier 1 |
| 2022 | Cor Jesu Academy | 8 | 7 | 7 | -1 | 39.9 | 0.337 | 12 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 2 | Tier 2 |
| 2022 | Rockwood Summit | 15 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 36.7 | 0.352 | 18 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2022 | Parkway Central | 32 | 33 | 33 | 1 | 41.7 | 0.259 | 33 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 5 | Tier 5 |
| 2022 | Marquette | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 41.2 | 0.136 | 8 | yes | talent_loss_rebuild;low_returning_heavy_loss | down | 1 | Tier 1 |
| 2022 | O'Fallon | 31 | 29 | 29 | -2 | 26.5 | 0.161 | 22 | no | low_returning_heavy_loss | none | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2022 | Eureka | 7 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 34.2 | 0.428 | 16 | no | margin_overrated | down | 2 | Tier 2 |
| 2022 | Lafayette | 11 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 24.4 | 0.538 | 17 | no | margin_overrated | down | 3 | Tier 3 |
| 2022 | Nerinx Hall | 18 | 19 | 19 | 1 | 25.5 | 0.407 | 25 | no | margin_overrated | down | 4 | Tier 4 |