ranking_recommendations_2026_27
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 36 of 36 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| season | team_name | prior_finish_rank | current_composite_rank | recommended_rank | composite_rank_diagnostic | margin_strength_rank_diagnostic | projected_margin_rating | rank_delta_vs_prior | rank_delta_vs_composite | current_composite | projected_turnover_index | projected_composite | score_drop | returning_production_share | departure_loss_pct | legacy_prior | offense_lost_pct | defense_lost_pct | possession_lost_pct | seniors_count | late_underclass_goal_share | team_assist_rate | returning_draw_pct | feeder_pair_departing | roster_stat_adjustments | awards_points | departing_awards_points | returning_awards_points | departing_awards | returning_awards | actual_finish_rank | projection_error | flag_codes | action_flag_codes | info_flag_codes | flag_count | action_flag_count | needs_board_review | composite_split_note | review_priority | regression_tracks | board_note | program_notes | board_voted_rank | final_rank | final_rank_source | secondary_slot_delta | secondary_adjustment_reasons | returning_assist_share | returning_draw_share | feeder_gap | recommended_rank_adjusted | adjusted_rank_delta | adjusted_vs_prior | league_order_rank | margin_games | margin_wins | margin_losses | avg_margin | avg_margin_capped | margin_std | top16_games | avg_margin_vs_top16 | margin_std_vs_top16 | top8_games | record_vs_top8 | avg_margin_vs_top8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Eureka | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.44 | 0 | 84.92 | 62.7 | 15.1 | 0.679 | 15.1 | 1.0 | 15.2 | 21.4 | 7.3 | 9 | 0.633 | 0.406 | 0.761 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 47 | 22 | 25 | Amelia Craig (all state first: 1st Team); Morgan Bilby (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Amelia Craig (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Mel Hoevelmann (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Morgan Bilby (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Alyssa Olivio (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Amelia Weick (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Reagan Sipiorski (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Remi Meyers (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team) | Emily Emerson (all state first: 1st Team); Tessa Srsen (all state first: 1st Team); Emily Emerson (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Tessa Srsen (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Addy Hays (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Emmy Seiler (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Kaitlyn Benoist (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Sam Laudano (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Whitney Pickert (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention) | award_talent_loss | award_talent_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | award_talent_review | Recommend rank 1 (prior finish 1). Flagged for board review: award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review. | 1 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.536 | 0.761 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 8.76 | 7.41 | 4.93 | 12 | 7.25 | 5.15 | 9 | 8-1 | 5.56 | ||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Ladue Horton Watkins | 2 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1.16 | 0 | 70.11 | 49.62 | 29.9 | 0.511 | 29.9 | 1.0 | 34.3 | 11.6 | 42.0 | 5 | 0.412 | 0.393 | 0.149 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 40 | 22 | 18 | Colette Brennan (all state first: 1st Team); Vicky Derdoy (all state first: 1st Team); Colette Brennan (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Vicky Derdoy (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Claudia Gettins (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Joelle Judaken (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team) | Melia Saffold (all state first: 1st Team); Lyla Sandler (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Melia Saffold (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Charley Patterson (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Darcy Graftenreed (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Irene Murphy (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Lillian Schappe (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Sadie Steinbach (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Trudy Richardson (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team) | award_talent_loss | award_talent_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | award_talent_review | Recommend rank 2 (prior finish 2). Flagged for board review: award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review. | 2 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.455 | 0.149 | 0.091 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 4.06 | 3.53 | 6.95 | 14 | 2.43 | 6.57 | 9 | 5-4 | -0.89 | ||||||||||
| 2026-27 | MICDS | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3.22 | -2 | 89.33 | 60.25 | 10.7 | 0.777 | 10.7 | 1.0 | 12.7 | 3.2 | 16.6 | 7 | 0.764 | 0.311 | 0.703 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 34 | 13 | 21 | Amelia Mackin (all state first: 1st Team); Amelia Mackin (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Georgia Lochhead (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Katie Sheehan (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team) | Josie Ciaramita (all state first: 1st Team); Victoria Noble (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Josie Ciaramita (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Katherine Schott (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Victoria Noble (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Lilah Pronger (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team); Lydia Brown (all conference: METRO; Honorable Mention); Tara Sadasivam (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team) | award_talent_loss | award_talent_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | award_talent_review | Recommend rank 3 (prior finish 5). Flagged for board review: award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review. | 3 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.688 | 0.703 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 5.71 | 4.57 | 7.01 | 12 | 4.5 | 6.84 | 8 | 4-4 | 0.75 | ||||||||||
| 2026-27 | John Burroughs | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -0.27 | 1 | 55.45 | 41.42 | 44.5 | 0.154 | 44.5 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 7 | 0.253 | 0.403 | 0.047 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 62 | 59 | 3 | Reese Rafferty (all american: All American); Azin Mofidi (all state first: 1st Team); Kate Logsdon (all state first: 1st Team); Katy Chapman (all state first: 1st Team); Reese Rafferty (all state first: 1st Team); Reese Rafferty (all conference: METRO; Player of Year); Azin Mofidi (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Kate Logsdon (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Katy Chapman (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Jane Dunaway (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team); Sophie Buchowski (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team) | Caroline Deutsch (all conference: METRO; Honorable Mention); Devon Gable (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team); Flynn Engelsmann (all conference: METRO; Honorable Mention) | low_returning_heavy_loss;award_talent_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss;award_talent_loss | 2 | 2 | yes | medium | award_talent_review;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 4 (prior finish 3). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss, award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 4 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.232 | 0.047 | 0.537 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 5.75 | 5.44 | 5.65 | 14 | 5.07 | 5.73 | 8 | 5-3 | 2.0 | |||||||||
| 2026-27 | Cor Jesu Academy | 4 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -1.65 | 1 | 64.85 | 44.2 | 35.2 | 0.477 | 35.2 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 27.3 | 9 | 0.632 | 0.364 | 0.578 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 36 | 32 | 4 | Cate Figge (all state first: 1st Team); Georgia Slinkard (all state first: 1st Team); Maggie Bruno (all state first: 1st Team); Cate Figge (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Georgia Slinkard (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Maggie Bruno (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Kerry Harrington (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Sophia Work (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention) | Paige Ferris (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Claire Henderson (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Jane Miller (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team) | award_talent_loss | award_talent_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | award_talent_review | Recommend rank 5 (prior finish 4). Flagged for board review: award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review. | 5 | model_adjusted | -1 | returning_draw_control | 0.5 | 0.578 | 0.0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 4.53 | 3.71 | 6.89 | 14 | 2.57 | 5.92 | 10 | 5-5 | 0.8 | |||||||||
| 2026-27 | St. Joseph's Academy | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | -0.74 | 0 | 76.37 | 49.49 | 23.6 | 0.577 | 23.6 | 1.0 | 26.8 | 30.9 | 10.4 | 7 | 0.526 | 0.533 | 0.759 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 28 | 16 | 12 | Reagan Pullium (all state first: 1st Team); Shannon Bryan (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Reagan Pullium (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Shannon Bryan (all conference: GISL; 1st Team) | Jayne Riva (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Ella Nichols (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Jayne Riva (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Brooke Butler (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Izzy Perez (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Karolyn Wientge (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Maria Najarro (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team) | award_talent_loss | award_talent_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | award_talent_review | Recommend rank 6 (prior finish 6). Flagged for board review: award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review. | 6 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.633 | 0.759 | 0.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 4.07 | 3.5 | 8.7 | 11 | 2.09 | 8.84 | 7 | 4-3 | -2.29 | ||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Westminster | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 0.47 | -2 | 91.76 | 57.87 | 8.2 | 0.745 | 8.2 | 0.843 | 15.7 | 3.3 | 5.9 | 9 | 0.692 | 0.304 | 0.815 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 16 | 9 | 7 | Maggie Feeney (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Edde Doehring (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Maggie Feeney (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Kamia Cleveland (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team) | Lane Highmark (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Mia Fuller (all conference: METRO; 1st Team); Aniya Cleveland (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team); Caroline Campbell (all conference: METRO; Honorable Mention); Lauren McCall (all conference: METRO; 2nd Team) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 7 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.667 | 0.815 | 0.0 | 7 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 3.14 | 2.93 | 7.03 | 11 | 1.45 | 6.89 | 6 | 1-5 | -3.5 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Visitation Academy | 7 | 5 | 9 | 8 | -1.51 | 2 | 54.94 | 36.74 | 45.1 | 0.22 | 45.1 | 0.546 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 6 | 0.232 | 0.335 | 0.404 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 25 | 21 | 3 | Molly Fesler (all state first: 1st Team); Margot Newbold (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Caelan Vulin (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Margot Newbold (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Molly Fesler (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Ellie Glarner (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Evie Harris (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Kendall Ann McGowan (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention) | Anna Friedrich (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Clare Gunn (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Maria Travers (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention) | low_returning_heavy_loss;award_talent_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss;award_talent_loss | 2 | 2 | yes | medium | award_talent_review;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 9 (prior finish 7). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss, award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 8 | model_adjusted | -1 | returning_feeder_core | 0.393 | 0.404 | 0.213 | 8 | -1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 6.57 | 5.29 | 6.93 | 10 | 3.9 | 6.14 | 5 | 0-5 | -1.4 | |||||||||
| 2026-27 | O'Fallon | 8 | 14 | 8 | 14 | -7.32 | 0 | 84.26 | 46.13 | 15.7 | 0.703 | 15.7 | 1.0 | 17.6 | 6.4 | 25.0 | 8 | 0.603 | 0.297 | 0.617 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 9 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.302 | 0.617 | 0.395 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 9.79 | 9 | -5.44 | 4.77 | 6 | 0-6 | -8.17 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Lafayette | 11 | 15 | 10 | 12 | -6.49 | -1 | 93.68 | 55.98 | 6.3 | 0.873 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 9.4 | 3 | 0.841 | 0.48 | 0.813 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 17 | 3 | 14 | Ella Minton (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Hayden Miller (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Julia Kottke (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team) | Rhianyn Mcintyre (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Lily Orso (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Mary Sublette (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Rhianyn Mcintyre (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Jillian Trost (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Lucy Carroll (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Natalie Cunningham (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Sami Ortega (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 10 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.958 | 0.813 | 0.0 | 10 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 9 | -1.53 | -1.13 | 9.55 | 11 | -5.73 | 7.24 | 6 | 1-5 | -8.5 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | St. Dominic | 10 | 16 | 11 | 18 | -9.02 | 1 | 73.39 | 49.02 | 26.6 | 0.53 | 26.6 | 0.499 | 38.0 | 32.2 | 4.9 | 5 | 0.519 | 0.48 | 0.801 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 14 | 7 | 6 | Gwenny Roberts (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Gwenny Roberts (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Bree Moore (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team) | Luci Richardson (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); McKenna Schmidt (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Olivia Roberts (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Sophia Riffle (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Whitney Downard (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 11 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.549 | 0.801 | 0.0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 3.71 | 2.5 | 9.6 | 6 | -5.83 | 4.54 | 4 | 0-4 | -8.5 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Northwest | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15 | -8.16 | 0 | 63.9 | 40.23 | 36.1 | 0.382 | 36.1 | 0.57 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 16.6 | 11 | 0.361 | 0.195 | 0.647 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 14 | 11 | 3 | Halle Vance (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Liliana Cornatzer (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Maddi Hogan (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Arabella DeLuca (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Breezy Cardwell (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Isla Wingenbach (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Maggie Baumann (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Sadie Clabaugh (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention) | Allison Long (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Addison Murphy (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention) | award_talent_loss | award_talent_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | award_talent_review | Recommend rank 12 (prior finish 12). Flagged for board review: award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review. | 12 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.56 | 0.647 | 0.0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0.87 | 1.33 | 7.41 | 6 | -3.83 | 9.45 | 2 | 0-2 | -13.5 | ||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Villa Duchesne | 13 | 26 | 13 | 27 | -11.07 | 0 | 79.95 | 52.59 | 20.0 | 0.695 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 28.4 | 2.9 | 28.6 | 1 | 0.607 | 0.423 | 0.566 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 27 | 10 | 17 | Katie Todorovich (all state first: 1st Team); Katie Todorovich (all conference: GISL; 1st Team) | Maeve O'Neil (all state first: 1st Team); Maeve O'Neil (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Elizabeth Meyer (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Ellie Wallace (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Emme Rohlfing (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Eva Wallace (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Kenzie Studer (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Margot Todorovich (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Sarah Catherin Finney (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention) | roster_margin_split;award_talent_loss | award_talent_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | award_talent_review | Recommend rank 13 (prior finish 13). Flagged for board review: award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review. | 13 | model_adjusted | -1 | returning_draw_control | 0.928 | 0.566 | 0.0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 10.77 | 6 | -8.67 | 5.89 | 4 | 0-4 | -12.0 | |||||||
| 2026-27 | Wentzville | 15 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 4.74 | -1 | 84.93 | 58.06 | 15.1 | 0.703 | 15.1 | 0.807 | 0.0 | 45.0 | 1.2 | 9 | 0.983 | 0.257 | 0.848 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 14 (prior finish 15). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 14 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.868 | 0.848 | 0.0 | 14 | 0 | -1 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7.0 | 6.55 | 4.65 | 2 | 1.0 | 4.24 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Marquette | 14 | 18 | 15 | 24 | -10.43 | 1 | 70.73 | 40.65 | 29.3 | 0.534 | 29.3 | 0.91 | 38.0 | 11.8 | 35.4 | 6 | 0.315 | 0.135 | 0.422 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 14 | 9 | 5 | Sydney Kronauge (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Sydney Kronauge (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Abby Welch (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Karina Lay (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Phoebe Yoder (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team) | Brynn Clark (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Rebecca Bergman (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Hailey Hasler (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention) | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 15 (prior finish 14). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 15 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.333 | 0.422 | 0.333 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 9 | -3.33 | -2.67 | 8.14 | 11 | -6.91 | 6.17 | 6 | 0-6 | -10.0 | ||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Rockwood Summit | 16 | 20 | 16 | 19 | -9.03 | 0 | 84.0 | 49.82 | 16.0 | 0.693 | 16.0 | 0.817 | 4.3 | 45.0 | 0.2 | 6 | 0.831 | 0.295 | 0.935 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 12 | 0 | 12 | Molly Jones (all state hm: Honorable Mention); Emery Gregston (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Molly Jones (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Ashlinn Kloos (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Bianca Carlson (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); McKenna Pedrotti (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Natalie Moehle (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 16 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.907 | 0.935 | 0.0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 9 | -2.6 | -2.33 | 7.73 | 9 | -7.11 | 4.81 | 6 | 0-6 | -9.0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Parkway West | 17 | 21 | 17 | 17 | -8.77 | 0 | 88.42 | 46.41 | 11.6 | 0.702 | 11.6 | 1.0 | 14.9 | 4.7 | 17.4 | 9 | 0.609 | 0.321 | 0.652 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 9 | 3 | 6 | Hannah Jennings (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Annie Deckelbaum (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention) | Maria De Juan Jareno (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Andrea Restrepo (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Gabriella Pupillo (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Natalie Beach (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention); Peyton Solomon (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 17 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.472 | 0.652 | 0.056 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 7 | -1.4 | -1.13 | 8.55 | 8 | -7.38 | 6.76 | 3 | 0-3 | -12.33 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Ursuline Academy | 19 | 25 | 18 | 25 | -10.83 | -1 | 79.23 | 46.08 | 20.8 | 0.623 | 20.8 | 1.0 | 27.9 | 5.2 | 28.8 | 7 | 0.508 | 0.457 | 0.533 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 9 | 5 | 4 | Gracie Krejci (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Clare Verslues (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Grace Ledwon (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Hayden Yorty (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team) | Morgan Hollenberg (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Celine Auberry (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Mason Hembree (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 18 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.542 | 0.533 | 0.0 | 18 | 0 | -1 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 2.0 | 1.36 | 9.96 | 6 | -8.33 | 3.61 | 3 | 0-3 | -11.0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Parkway South | 18 | 24 | 19 | 30 | -12.27 | 1 | 61.72 | 40.51 | 38.3 | 0.379 | 38.3 | 0.614 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 26.1 | 10 | 0.481 | 0.29 | 0.575 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 15 | 6 | 9 | Abby Karl (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Abby Eickhoff (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Ella Foresman (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Natalie Parra (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Riley Stiefer (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention) | Alexis Wright (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Lana Korte (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Tori Knowles (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Aaliyah Krzyanowski (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Campbell McCool (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Easton Bushong (all conference: Green; 2nd Team) | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 19 (prior finish 18). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 19 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.298 | 0.575 | 0.404 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 2.93 | 2.73 | 8.42 | 3 | -7.67 | 9.45 | 1 | 0-1 | -11.0 | ||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Webster Groves | 20 | 17 | 20 | 20 | -9.19 | 0 | 80.1 | 45.84 | 19.9 | 0.624 | 19.9 | 0.448 | 26.1 | 4.6 | 31.2 | 7 | 0.478 | 0.285 | 0.504 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 12 | 2 | 7 | Elliot Blew (all conference: Green; 1st Team) | Shae Hodge (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Elliotte Stahl (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Emma Zarky (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Kara Ford (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Maddie Hinkle (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Opal Hayes (all conference: Green; 2nd Team) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 20 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.784 | 0.504 | 0.0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 8 | -0.13 | -0.27 | 6.89 | 5 | -6.8 | 4.15 | 1 | 0-1 | -13.0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Lindbergh | 21 | 22 | 21 | 23 | -10.04 | 0 | 78.81 | 44.34 | 21.2 | 0.636 | 21.2 | 0.326 | 19.1 | 25.0 | 18.1 | 4 | 0.676 | 0.15 | 0.662 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 11 | 4 | 7 | Addie Rohrbach (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Mariah Jackson (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Stella Hadziselimovic (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention) | Lexi Salata (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Elaina Meyer (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Bella Benson (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Piper Wilmot (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Sara Polesel (all conference: Green; 2nd Team) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 21 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.64 | 0.662 | 0.0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.88 | 1.56 | 7.96 | 4 | -7.5 | 4.2 | 1 | 0-1 | -13.0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Kirkwood | 23 | 29 | 22 | 22 | -10.02 | -1 | 97.09 | 55.92 | 2.9 | 0.819 | 2.9 | 0.912 | 6.2 | 0.1 | 4.1 | 10 | 0.92 | 0.28 | 0.851 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 9 | 3 | 6 | Kelly Boudreau (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Lily Dodd-Ruesing (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Riley Devers (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention) | Claire Grote (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Mia Campbell (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Caroline Huey (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Tiernan Luby (all conference: Green; 2nd Team) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 22 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.922 | 0.851 | 0.0 | 22 | 0 | -1 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 9 | -0.53 | -0.53 | 7.98 | 3 | -9.67 | 6.66 | 1 | 0-1 | -13.0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Francis Howell North | 25 | 28 | 23 | 21 | -9.75 | -2 | 96.5 | 50.13 | 3.5 | 0.915 | 3.5 | 0.296 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.841 | 0.405 | 0.967 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 8 | 1 | 7 | Ariana Larsen (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention) | Bailey Cosby (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Morgan Conlon (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Mattie Gibbs (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Presley Jaques (all conference: Green; 2nd Team); Zidian Walker (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 23 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.824 | 0.967 | 0.0 | 23 | 0 | -2 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 11 | -4.31 | -4.08 | 4.48 | 3 | -9.33 | 3.51 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Francis Howell Central | 26 | 19 | 24 | 16 | -8.24 | -2 | 89.69 | 49.11 | 10.3 | 0.647 | 10.3 | 0.45 | 19.9 | 2.0 | 8.1 | 5 | 0.442 | 0.259 | 0.607 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 7 | 4 | 3 | Lucy Landry (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Katie Wuertz (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention); Sophia Serino (all conference: Green; Honorable Mention) | Addison Holtgrewe (all conference: Green; 1st Team); Kennedy Holtgrewe (all conference: Green; 2nd Team) | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 24 (prior finish 26). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 24 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.381 | 0.607 | 0.0 | 24 | 0 | -2 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 9 | -1.79 | -1.57 | 6.47 | 3 | -7.0 | 4.58 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Nerinx Hall | 22 | 32 | 26 | 35 | -16.07 | 4 | 54.18 | 28.54 | 45.8 | 0.107 | 45.8 | 0.927 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 10 | 0.215 | 0.473 | 0.061 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 15 | 15 | 0 | Gretchen Patterson (all state first: 1st Team); Gretchen Patterson (all conference: GISL; Player of Year); Kenley Heinen (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Chloe Schmid (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Lainey Bickel (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team) | large_move_vs_prior;roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss;legacy_downgrade;award_talent_loss | large_move_vs_prior;low_returning_heavy_loss;legacy_downgrade;award_talent_loss | roster_margin_split | 5 | 4 | yes | also | high | award_talent_review;confirm_roster_turnover;legacy_program_regression;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 26 (prior finish 22). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior, low_returning_heavy_loss, legacy_downgrade, award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review; confirm_roster_turnover; legacy_program_regression; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 25 | model_adjusted | -2 | legacy_pull_1;legacy_depth_floor;prior_blend_25pct | 0.194 | 0.061 | 0.613 | 25 | -1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 8 | -2.64 | -2.29 | 9.44 | 7 | -10.57 | 2.64 | 4 | 0-4 | -12.0 | ||||||||
| 2026-27 | Francis Howell | 24 | 23 | 25 | 28 | -11.32 | 1 | 69.17 | 39.77 | 30.8 | 0.479 | 30.8 | 0.55 | 4.7 | 45.0 | 41.5 | 7 | 0.806 | 0.418 | 0.391 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 5 | 2 | 3 | Morgan Nickell (all conference: Yellow; 2nd Team); Riese Grier (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention) | Audrey Cornett (all conference: Yellow; 1st Team); Rowan Clark (all conference: Yellow; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 26 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.725 | 0.391 | 0.0 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 9 | -3.0 | -2.79 | 7.89 | 8 | -7.62 | 4.63 | 2 | 0-2 | -12.5 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Parkway Central | 28 | 34 | 27 | 31 | -12.54 | -1 | 84.36 | 51.79 | 15.6 | 0.703 | 15.6 | 0.362 | 35.1 | 3.5 | 7.1 | 3 | 0.459 | 0.211 | 0.854 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 12 | 6 | 6 | Ella Wujcik (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Mia Behrends (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Taryn Provinse (all conference: Red; 1st Team) | Anika Moolsintong (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); Anna Day (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention); Claire Emerson (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); Naomi Wagner (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); Shani Rodin (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention); Victoria Knolhoff (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 27 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.588 | 0.854 | 0.0 | 27 | 0 | -1 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 11 | -2.93 | -2.8 | 7.5 | 3 | -10.67 | 1.53 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Clayton | 27 | 31 | 28 | 33 | -13.47 | 1 | 69.04 | 36.38 | 31.0 | 0.462 | 31.0 | 0.393 | 34.9 | 12.9 | 42.0 | 10 | 0.421 | 0.302 | 0.185 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 15 | 6 | 6 | Naomi Zaidman (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Taylor Flotken (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Claire Downs (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); Marley Dockman (all conference: Red; 2nd Team) | Lydia Lee (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Charlotte Whitney (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention); Genevieve Bueno Perkin (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); Giselle Hausladen (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention); Lola Duffy (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 28 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.531 | 0.185 | 0.0 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 8 | -1.25 | -1.06 | 7.36 | 4 | -9.75 | 3.95 | 1 | 0-1 | -11.0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Notre Dame | 31 | 35 | 29 | 34 | -14.74 | -2 | 82.23 | 40.78 | 17.8 | 0.741 | 17.8 | 0.196 | 17.2 | 10.5 | 25.5 | 3 | 0.704 | 0.302 | 0.594 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 5 | 2 | 3 | Hannah Meissner (all conference: GISL; 2nd Team); Teagan Lanemann (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention) | Bella Schellman (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Jill Keeven (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 29 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.862 | 0.594 | 0.0 | 29 | 0 | -2 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 9 | -4.86 | -3.36 | 10.26 | 5 | -12.6 | 3.36 | 3 | 0-3 | -14.33 | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Oakville | 30 | 12 | 30 | 11 | -5.98 | 0 | 66.17 | 42.77 | 33.8 | 0.386 | 33.8 | 0.107 | 36.2 | 25.1 | 32.3 | 15 | 0.303 | 0.421 | 0.398 | False | 9 | 6 | 2 | Aubrey Cillo (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Natalie Girard (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Abby Hasty (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); Hanna Essner (all conference: Red; 2nd Team) | Addison Sanders (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention); Lillian King (all conference: Red; 2nd Team) | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 30 (prior finish 30). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 30 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.275 | 0.398 | 0.45 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 9 | -1.92 | -1.92 | 9.72 | 1 | -10.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Fox High School | 29 | 11 | 31 | 13 | -6.61 | 2 | 55.29 | 33.06 | 44.7 | 0.169 | 44.7 | 0.185 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 12 | 0.42 | 0.327 | 0.225 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 15 | 11 | 4 | Clare Keys (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Elayna Birschbach (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Izabella Frissell (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Zoey Boyd (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Kaitlyn Fiscella (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); Madison Martise (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); Mindi Hau (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention) | Callie Fitzwater (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention); Haley Iverson (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention); Kayla Orth (all conference: Red; 2nd Team); McKenna Sinak (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention) | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss;award_talent_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss;award_talent_loss | roster_margin_split | 3 | 2 | yes | also | medium | award_talent_review;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 31 (prior finish 29). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss, award_talent_loss. Suggested follow-up: award_talent_review; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 31 | model_adjusted | -1 | late_underclass_surge | 0.529 | 0.225 | 0.0 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 8 | -0.75 | -1.25 | 7.66 | 1 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||
| 2026-27 | Pattonville | 34 | 30 | 32 | 26 | -10.97 | -2 | 89.67 | 29.04 | 10.3 | 0.634 | 10.3 | 0.354 | 0.0 | 8.2 | 22.1 | 7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 8 | 3 | 3 | Paiten Buehrle (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Kijah Chamberlain (all conference: Red; Honorable Mention) | Lola Hennrich (all conference: Red; 1st Team); Zion Brock (all conference: Red; 2nd Team) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 32 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 32 | 0 | -2 | 32 | 11 | 0 | 11 | -11.91 | -9.73 | 2.3 | 1 | -13.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Incarnate Word | 32 | 36 | 33 | 36 | -16.8 | 1 | 66.66 | 30.83 | 33.3 | 0.365 | 33.3 | 0.099 | 38.0 | 13.5 | 42.0 | 7 | 0.233 | 0.119 | 0.149 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 4 | 4 | 0 | Reese Hopkins (all conference: GISL; 1st Team); Charli Niemzcyk (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention); Molly Toal (all conference: GISL; Honorable Mention) | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 33 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.25 | 0.149 | 0.5 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 10 | -6.29 | -5.21 | 8.8 | 5 | -12.8 | 1.79 | 2 | 0-2 | -12.5 | |||||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Parkway North | 33 | 27 | 34 | 32 | -12.84 | 1 | 66.51 | 28.43 | 33.5 | 0.341 | 33.5 | 0.212 | 38.0 | 20.5 | 42.0 | 4 | 0.148 | 0.321 | 0.077 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 2 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 34 (prior finish 33). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 34 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.235 | 0.077 | 0.529 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 11 | -11.09 | -8.82 | 4.18 | 1 | -11.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Edwardsville | 36 | 10 | 35 | 10 | -3.66 | -1 | 73.33 | 39.63 | 26.7 | 0.397 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 10 | 0.45 | 0.27 | 0.444 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 35 (prior finish 36). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 35 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.774 | 0.444 | 0.0 | 35 | 0 | -1 | 35 | 13 | 6 | 7 | -0.62 | -0.46 | 11.15 | 2 | -15.0 | 2.83 | 2 | 0-2 | -15.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2026-27 | Belleville West | 37 | 33 | 36 | 29 | -12.18 | -1 | 87.38 | 53.41 | 12.6 | 0.769 | 12.6 | 0.205 | 8.3 | 22.7 | 6.8 | 6 | 0.737 | 0.585 | 0.776 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 36 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.803 | 0.776 | 0.0 | 36 | 0 | -1 | 36 | 14 | 6 | 8 | -2.0 | -2.0 | 7.03 | 3 | -10.67 | 2.08 | 3 | 0-3 | -10.67 |