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ranking_recommendations_2025_26

Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 34 of 34 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22

season team_name prior_finish_rank current_composite_rank recommended_rank composite_rank_diagnostic margin_strength_rank_diagnostic projected_margin_rating rank_delta_vs_prior rank_delta_vs_composite current_composite projected_turnover_index projected_composite score_drop returning_production_share departure_loss_pct legacy_prior offense_lost_pct defense_lost_pct possession_lost_pct seniors_count late_underclass_goal_share team_assist_rate returning_draw_pct feeder_pair_departing roster_stat_adjustments awards_points departing_awards_points returning_awards_points departing_awards returning_awards actual_finish_rank projection_error flag_codes action_flag_codes info_flag_codes flag_count action_flag_count needs_board_review composite_split_note review_priority regression_tracks board_note program_notes board_voted_rank final_rank final_rank_source secondary_slot_delta secondary_adjustment_reasons returning_assist_share returning_draw_share feeder_gap recommended_rank_adjusted adjusted_rank_delta adjusted_vs_prior league_order_rank margin_games margin_wins margin_losses avg_margin avg_margin_capped margin_std top16_games avg_margin_vs_top16 margin_std_vs_top16 top8_games record_vs_top8 avg_margin_vs_top8
2025-26 John Burroughs 1 1 1 1 7.53 0 99.69 71.54 0.3 0.968 0.3 1.0 1.1 1.4 0.0 7 0.922 0.363 0.982 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 1 model_adjusted 0 0.895 0.982 0.0 1 0 0 1 16 14 2 8.12 7.12 5.26 14 7.57 5.42 8 6-2 5.0
2025-26 MICDS 2 4 2 4 2.4 0 76.13 57.89 23.9 0.546 23.9 1.0 19.5 45.0 8.8 8 0.657 0.453 0.82 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 2 model_adjusted 0 0.39 0.82 0.219 2 0 0 2 17 13 4 6.47 5.53 7.52 15 5.27 7.17 10 6-4 2.4
2025-26 Eureka 3 2 3 2 4.39 0 87.1 59.86 12.9 0.729 12.9 1.0 34.5 3.4 2.4 4 0.485 0.416 0.887 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 3 model_adjusted 0 0.506 0.887 0.0 3 0 0 3 16 14 2 5.94 5.25 6.24 16 5.94 6.24 9 7-2 1.67
2025-26 Cor Jesu Academy 5 6 4 5 0.59 -1 78.73 57.65 21.3 0.696 21.3 1.0 19.1 9.0 37.4 5 0.615 0.304 0.439 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 4 model_adjusted 0 0.833 0.439 0.0 4 0 -1 4 18 15 3 5.89 4.78 6.76 13 3.15 5.86 7 4-3 -0.57
2025-26 Ladue Horton Watkins 4 5 5 6 -0.69 1 62.85 42.24 37.2 0.359 37.2 1.0 38.0 45.0 30.1 9 0.371 0.377 0.544 True feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 5 model_adjusted 0 0.365 0.544 0.27 5 0 1 5 14 10 4 4.29 4.07 5.76 13 3.77 5.64 7 3-4 -0.43
2025-26 Westminster 7 8 6 9 -3.83 -1 78.88 50.09 21.1 0.567 21.1 0.834 6.7 15.8 42.0 17 0.794 0.306 0.16 False late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 6 model_adjusted 0 0.745 0.16 0.0 6 0 -1 6 15 9 6 2.67 2.4 8.66 10 -1.3 7.67 5 1-4 -5.8
2025-26 St. Joseph's Academy 6 7 7 11 -4.06 1 63.24 39.43 36.8 0.371 36.8 1.0 38.0 35.5 38.4 8 0.48 0.716 0.378 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 7 model_adjusted 0 0.424 0.378 0.132 7 0 1 7 16 10 6 4.06 3.19 7.88 11 0.36 6.65 6 1-5 -3.17
2025-26 Visitation Academy 10 22 8 12 -5.34 -2 99.41 54.54 0.6 0.971 0.6 0.478 0.4 1.4 0.0 4 0.938 0.244 0.987 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 8 model_adjusted 0 1.0 0.987 0.0 8 0 -2 8 17 9 8 -0.12 -0.12 9.03 11 -5.27 6.4 7 1-6 -8.43
2025-26 Marquette 9 12 9 14 -5.61 0 69.2 42.42 30.8 0.513 30.8 0.919 38.0 13.8 42.0 7 0.292 0.133 0.401 True feeder_pair_offense 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 9 model_adjusted 0 0.375 0.401 0.25 9 0 0 9 12 6 6 -1.17 -1.17 6.31 11 -1.91 6.04 6 1-5 -5.17
2025-26 O'Fallon 8 16 10 22 -8.1 2 59.87 35.92 40.1 0.259 40.1 1.0 38.0 45.0 39.1 9 0.373 0.389 0.477 True feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss low_returning_heavy_loss roster_margin_split 2 1 yes also medium underclass_surge_or_replacement Recommend rank 10 (prior finish 8). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. 10 model_adjusted -1 legacy_depth_floor 0.137 0.477 0.725 10 0 2 10 13 8 5 4.08 2.15 9.85 7 -3.29 5.44 4 0-4 -6.0
2025-26 Lafayette 11 15 11 15 -6.04 0 77.06 46.88 22.9 0.585 22.9 1.0 9.0 45.0 16.5 4 0.742 0.62 0.654 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 11 model_adjusted 0 0.786 0.654 0.0 11 0 0 11 15 11 4 2.4 2.2 7.2 7 -3.29 5.96 3 0-3 -9.33
2025-26 Rockwood Summit 13 25 12 21 -8.03 -1 89.92 52.49 10.1 0.733 10.1 0.822 16.9 2.9 11.5 10 0.66 0.347 0.685 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split roster_margin_split 1 0 no yes medium Recommend rank 12 (prior finish 13). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. 12 model_adjusted 0 0.558 0.685 0.0 12 0 -1 12 14 5 9 -4.5 -3.93 6.68 11 -6.82 5.38 7 0-7 -9.57
2025-26 Parkway West 12 19 13 23 -8.11 1 69.87 35.29 30.1 0.311 30.1 1.0 38.0 12.1 42.0 12 0.07 0.169 0.143 True feeder_pair_offense 0 0 0 roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss low_returning_heavy_loss roster_margin_split 2 1 yes also medium underclass_surge_or_replacement Recommend rank 13 (prior finish 12). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. 13 model_adjusted -1 legacy_depth_floor 0.042 0.143 0.917 13 0 1 13 18 5 13 -2.67 -2.28 6.55 14 -4.5 5.92 9 1-8 -6.78
2025-26 St. Dominic 14 23 14 20 -7.99 0 78.43 46.83 21.6 0.548 21.6 0.467 16.8 16.2 31.7 8 0.62 0.271 0.425 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 14 model_adjusted 0 0.6 0.425 0.0 14 0 0 14 14 8 6 1.36 0.93 7.67 5 -5.4 5.03 3 0-3 -8.0
2025-26 Wentzville 15 24 15 24 -8.73 0 72.61 38.3 27.4 0.466 27.4 0.871 9.8 45.0 28.6 8 0.745 0.287 0.531 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split roster_margin_split 1 0 no yes medium Recommend rank 15 (prior finish 15). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. 15 model_adjusted 0 0.793 0.531 0.0 15 0 0 15 11 3 8 -2.73 -3.09 9.26 9 -5.44 5.83 6 1-5 -7.5
2025-26 Francis Howell 17 17 17 26 -8.83 0 61.6 36.94 38.4 0.315 38.4 0.583 28.5 45.0 42.0 8 0.527 0.561 0.312 False late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss low_returning_heavy_loss roster_margin_split 2 1 yes also medium underclass_surge_or_replacement Recommend rank 17 (prior finish 17). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. 16 model_adjusted -1 late_underclass_surge 0.346 0.312 0.308 16 -1 -1 16 14 6 8 -1.29 -0.93 6.68 9 -4.22 5.31 3 0-3 -7.67
2025-26 Northwest 16 27 16 29 -10.79 0 71.23 44.87 28.8 0.514 28.8 0.545 38.0 6.5 42.0 11 0.387 0.272 0.309 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split roster_margin_split 1 0 no yes medium Recommend rank 16 (prior finish 16). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. 17 model_adjusted 0 0.457 0.309 0.087 17 1 1 17 15 11 4 1.73 1.93 6.6 3 -7.33 7.37 2 0-2 -11.5
2025-26 Nerinx Hall 18 29 18 28 -10.29 0 80.89 50.48 19.1 0.576 19.1 0.944 6.3 45.0 7.5 11 0.68 0.393 0.796 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split roster_margin_split 1 0 no yes medium Recommend rank 18 (prior finish 18). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. 18 model_adjusted 0 0.712 0.796 0.0 18 0 0 18 14 7 7 -0.14 -0.71 7.93 5 -8.0 3.94 2 0-2 -10.0
2025-26 Villa Duchesne 21 28 19 19 -7.72 -2 99.85 45.83 0.1 0.715 0.1 1.0 0.0 2.1 0.0 5 0.932 0.377 1.0 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 19 model_adjusted 0 0.674 1.0 0.0 19 0 -2 19 14 6 8 -1.29 -1.5 8.72 7 -7.71 4.35 3 0-3 -11.67
2025-26 Ursuline Academy 19 26 20 30 -11.47 1 61.6 35.39 38.4 0.268 38.4 1.0 38.0 36.9 42.0 6 0.403 0.201 0.23 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss low_returning_heavy_loss roster_margin_split 2 1 yes also medium underclass_surge_or_replacement Recommend rank 20 (prior finish 19). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. 20 model_adjusted -1 late_underclass_surge 0.179 0.23 0.643 20 0 1 20 16 7 9 -0.62 -0.19 8.27 7 -6.86 6.74 3 0-3 -13.0
2025-26 Parkway Central 23 3 21 3 4.09 -2 85.45 60.02 14.5 0.726 14.5 0.37 11.1 7.6 25.0 7 0.721 0.494 0.508 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split roster_margin_split 1 0 no yes medium Recommend rank 21 (prior finish 23). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. 21 model_adjusted 0 0.562 0.508 0.0 21 0 -2 21 12 9 3 7.17 5.83 7.27 1 -6.0 0.0 0 0.0
2025-26 Kirkwood 22 18 22 16 -6.12 0 86.55 45.96 13.5 0.51 13.5 0.929 14.2 0.2 27.3 2 0.691 0.135 0.548 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 22 model_adjusted 0 0.667 0.548 0.0 22 0 0 22 13 6 7 1.0 0.23 8.78 4 -4.5 4.51 0 0.0
2025-26 Webster Groves 20 13 23 17 -6.8 3 60.0 37.66 40.0 0.309 40.0 0.45 38.0 45.0 37.0 10 0.382 0.257 0.438 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 low_returning_heavy_loss low_returning_heavy_loss 1 1 yes medium underclass_surge_or_replacement Recommend rank 23 (prior finish 20). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. 23 model_adjusted -1 returning_feeder_core 0.405 0.438 0.189 23 0 3 23 15 11 4 3.6 2.87 6.96 3 -2.0 4.58 0 0.0
2025-26 Francis Howell Central 25 30 24 27 -9.98 -1 87.72 42.0 12.3 0.253 12.3 0.484 26.9 3.8 6.2 5 0.435 0.227 0.423 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 24 model_adjusted 0 0.318 0.423 0.136 24 0 -1 24 13 4 9 -3.0 -2.77 6.78 4 -8.5 4.43 1 0-1 -10.0
2025-26 Parkway South 26 21 25 18 -7.5 -1 79.17 46.74 20.8 0.62 20.8 0.615 21.4 2.5 39.0 5 0.55 0.215 0.397 False late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 25 model_adjusted 0 0.429 0.397 0.143 25 0 -1 25 16 7 9 1.56 1.19 7.61 4 -5.0 3.27 0 0.0
2025-26 Lindbergh 24 20 26 25 -8.8 2 64.95 38.18 35.0 0.374 35.0 0.312 38.0 25.1 42.0 9 0.238 0.118 0.324 True feeder_pair_offense 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 26 model_adjusted 0 0.294 0.324 0.412 26 0 2 26 15 8 7 2.47 2.2 6.71 5 -4.6 3.05 0 0.0
2025-26 Notre Dame 27 32 27 32 -15.24 0 86.91 36.2 13.1 0.729 13.1 0.212 2.2 23.4 13.7 8 0.857 0.218 0.8 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 27 model_adjusted 0 0.647 0.8 0.0 27 0 0 27 11 3 7 -3.91 -2.64 10.51 3 -13.67 1.15 2 0-2 -13.0
2025-26 Clayton 29 10 28 7 -2.48 -1 90.73 45.42 9.3 0.777 9.3 0.408 11.3 1.0 15.5 5 0.767 0.294 0.67 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split roster_margin_split 1 0 no yes medium Recommend rank 28 (prior finish 29). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. 28 model_adjusted 0 0.68 0.67 0.0 28 0 -1 28 14 5 9 -1.79 -1.36 8.78 1 -11.0 0.0 1 0-1 -11.0
2025-26 Francis Howell North 28 31 29 31 -13.82 1 76.49 37.76 23.5 0.57 23.5 0.3 25.5 29.1 16.0 14 0.489 0.412 0.702 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 0 0 no Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. 29 model_adjusted 0 0.714 0.702 0.0 29 0 1 29 14 5 9 -4.0 -3.36 8.58 3 -11.0 1.73 0 0.0
2025-26 Incarnate Word 30 33 30 34 -18.13 0 63.85 27.34 36.1 0.307 36.1 0.106 38.0 28.4 42.0 7 0.125 0.233 0.286 True feeder_pair_offense 0 0 0 low_returning_heavy_loss low_returning_heavy_loss 1 1 yes medium underclass_surge_or_replacement Recommend rank 30 (prior finish 30). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. 30 model_adjusted 0 0.0 0.286 1.0 30 0 0 30 14 0 13 -11.21 -8.71 4.69 5 -13.8 2.17 3 0-3 -13.67
2025-26 Fox High School 33 11 31 10 -4.02 -2 78.64 41.87 21.4 0.575 21.4 0.196 19.1 45.0 0.0 11 0.516 0.321 0.905 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split roster_margin_split 1 0 no yes medium Recommend rank 31 (prior finish 33). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. 31 model_adjusted 0 0.556 0.905 0.0 31 0 -2 31 11 4 7 -1.27 -1.45 6.87 1 -6.0 0.0 0 0.0
2025-26 Edwardsville 37 14 32 8 -2.83 -5 93.76 44.79 6.2 0.725 6.2 0.0 7.9 0.0 10.8 13 0.667 0.492 0.609 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 large_move_vs_prior;roster_margin_split large_move_vs_prior roster_margin_split 2 1 yes also medium confirm_roster_turnover Recommend rank 32 (prior finish 37). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. 32 model_adjusted 1 prior_blend_25pct 0.069 0.609 0.862 32 0 -5 32 11 5 6 -3.18 -2.09 8.44 2 -15.0 0.0 2 0-2 -15.0
2025-26 Oakville 32 9 33 13 -5.49 1 65.23 38.2 34.8 0.445 34.8 0.104 38.0 45.0 21.3 12 0.333 0.296 0.655 True feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 roster_margin_split roster_margin_split 1 0 no yes medium Recommend rank 33 (prior finish 32). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. 33 model_adjusted 0 0.219 0.655 0.562 33 0 1 33 13 6 7 -1.38 -1.31 9.25 0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0
2025-26 Belleville West 38 34 34 33 -16.14 -4 90.45 36.7 9.5 0.565 9.5 0.256 4.3 0.0 24.3 5 0.87 0.0 0.6 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0 large_move_vs_prior large_move_vs_prior 1 1 yes medium confirm_roster_turnover Recommend rank 34 (prior finish 38). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. 34 model_adjusted 0 prior_blend_25pct;returning_draw_control 0.0 0.6 0.0 34 0 -4 34 11 6 5 -2.27 -1.0 10.75 3 -15.0 1.0 3 0-3 -15.0