ranking_recommendations_2024_25
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 35 of 35 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| season | team_name | prior_finish_rank | current_composite_rank | recommended_rank | composite_rank_diagnostic | margin_strength_rank_diagnostic | projected_margin_rating | rank_delta_vs_prior | rank_delta_vs_composite | current_composite | projected_turnover_index | projected_composite | score_drop | returning_production_share | departure_loss_pct | legacy_prior | offense_lost_pct | defense_lost_pct | possession_lost_pct | seniors_count | late_underclass_goal_share | team_assist_rate | returning_draw_pct | feeder_pair_departing | roster_stat_adjustments | awards_points | departing_awards_points | returning_awards_points | departing_awards | returning_awards | actual_finish_rank | projection_error | flag_codes | action_flag_codes | info_flag_codes | flag_count | action_flag_count | needs_board_review | composite_split_note | review_priority | regression_tracks | board_note | program_notes | board_voted_rank | final_rank | final_rank_source | secondary_slot_delta | secondary_adjustment_reasons | returning_assist_share | returning_draw_share | feeder_gap | recommended_rank_adjusted | adjusted_rank_delta | adjusted_vs_prior | league_order_rank | margin_games | margin_wins | margin_losses | avg_margin | avg_margin_capped | margin_std | top16_games | avg_margin_vs_top16 | margin_std_vs_top16 | top8_games | record_vs_top8 | avg_margin_vs_top8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | MICDS | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4.73 | -1 | 92.58 | 65.57 | 7.4 | 0.805 | 7.4 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 8 | 0.809 | 0.46 | 0.739 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 1 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.246 | 0.739 | 0.508 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 7.44 | 6.39 | 6.53 | 13 | 5.62 | 6.78 | 9 | 7-2 | 4.22 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Eureka | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3.53 | 1 | 63.42 | 47.15 | 36.6 | 0.401 | 36.6 | 1.0 | 24.4 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 10 | 0.562 | 0.375 | 0.273 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 2 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.602 | 0.273 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 9.53 | 7.71 | 5.11 | 12 | 7.92 | 5.32 | 7 | 6-1 | 4.71 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | John Burroughs | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3.39 | -1 | 77.7 | 51.88 | 22.3 | 0.532 | 22.3 | 1.0 | 21.8 | 45.0 | 1.8 | 5 | 0.613 | 0.394 | 0.894 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 3 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.731 | 0.894 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 6.65 | 6.0 | 5.43 | 14 | 6.07 | 5.84 | 9 | 5-4 | 2.78 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Rockwood Summit | 3 | 11 | 4 | 14 | -5.71 | 1 | 58.69 | 36.45 | 41.3 | 0.291 | 41.3 | 0.821 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 11 | 0.364 | 0.505 | 0.391 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 4 (prior finish 3). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 4 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.153 | 0.391 | 0.694 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 2.71 | 2.29 | 7.5 | 12 | -0.75 | 6.05 | 8 | 2-6 | -3.5 | |||||||||
| 2024-25 | Cor Jesu Academy | 6 | 9 | 5 | 8 | -3.39 | -1 | 74.02 | 48.67 | 26.0 | 0.556 | 26.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 6.0 | 35.6 | 10 | 0.382 | 0.468 | 0.426 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 5 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.583 | 0.426 | 0.0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 2.56 | 2.69 | 6.8 | 11 | -0.27 | 6.18 | 5 | 2-3 | -4.4 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Wentzville | 5 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -4.76 | 1 | 58.89 | 36.66 | 41.1 | 0.079 | 41.1 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 11 | 0.153 | 0.437 | 0.156 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 6 (prior finish 5). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 6 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.212 | 0.156 | 0.577 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 6.31 | 6 | 0.17 | 2.14 | 5 | 2-3 | -0.4 | |||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Ladue Horton Watkins | 8 | 10 | 7 | 5 | -0.91 | -1 | 97.98 | 69.48 | 2.0 | 0.918 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 4 | 0.771 | 0.316 | 0.851 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 7 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.774 | 0.851 | 0.0 | 7 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 7.87 | 7.13 | 5.21 | 3 | -0.67 | 4.73 | 1 | 0-1 | -6.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Marquette | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -3.7 | 1 | 70.89 | 45.96 | 29.1 | 0.448 | 29.1 | 0.916 | 20.9 | 45.0 | 22.8 | 8 | 0.581 | 0.274 | 0.581 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 8 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.587 | 0.581 | 0.0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 2.72 | 2.22 | 9.17 | 14 | -0.21 | 8.19 | 8 | 2-6 | -4.75 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Visitation Academy | 9 | 16 | 9 | 16 | -6.66 | 0 | 74.53 | 40.52 | 25.5 | 0.583 | 25.5 | 0.454 | 38.0 | 7.8 | 30.6 | 7 | 0.51 | 0.179 | 0.531 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 9 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.28 | 0.531 | 0.44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 10 | -0.43 | -0.57 | 7.48 | 10 | -3.6 | 4.93 | 4 | 0-4 | -7.5 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | St. Joseph's Academy | 11 | 15 | 10 | 12 | -5.39 | -1 | 85.08 | 47.73 | 14.9 | 0.723 | 14.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.5 | 6.0 | 8 | 0.842 | 0.695 | 0.8 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 10 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.524 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 10 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1.47 | 0.93 | 9.04 | 10 | -3.6 | 6.1 | 6 | 1-5 | -6.67 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | O'Fallon | 10 | 5 | 11 | 9 | -3.44 | 1 | 67.23 | 40.52 | 32.8 | 0.449 | 32.8 | 0.967 | 12.9 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 9 | 0.672 | 0.516 | 0.341 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 11 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.794 | 0.341 | 0.0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 8.81 | 6 | 0.5 | 4.28 | 1 | 0-1 | -8.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Parkway West | 12 | 17 | 12 | 18 | -8.1 | 0 | 64.73 | 35.56 | 35.3 | 0.371 | 35.3 | 1.0 | 28.3 | 45.0 | 34.2 | 5 | 0.558 | 0.256 | 0.447 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 12 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.375 | 0.447 | 0.25 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1.77 | 1.54 | 8.18 | 7 | -3.86 | 6.04 | 4 | 1-3 | -5.75 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Francis Howell | 13 | 22 | 13 | 22 | -10.15 | 0 | 72.76 | 42.24 | 27.2 | 0.539 | 27.2 | 0.588 | 38.0 | 5.2 | 38.8 | 7 | 0.25 | 0.373 | 0.391 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 13 (prior finish 13). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 13 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.446 | 0.391 | 0.107 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0.0 | -0.27 | 10.3 | 9 | -6.89 | 6.01 | 7 | 1-6 | -8.86 | ||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Westminster | 14 | 18 | 14 | 20 | -9.23 | 0 | 59.94 | 30.65 | 40.1 | 0.205 | 40.1 | 0.779 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 38.1 | 10 | 0.19 | 0.319 | 0.423 | False | returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 14 (prior finish 14). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 14 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.244 | 0.423 | 0.511 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 9 | -1.0 | -1.5 | 8.88 | 12 | -4.42 | 5.82 | 7 | 0-7 | -7.57 | ||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Northwest | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | -5.72 | -1 | 67.31 | 45.47 | 32.7 | 0.429 | 32.7 | 0.537 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 26.2 | 8 | 0.53 | 0.262 | 0.535 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 15 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.475 | 0.535 | 0.051 | 15 | 0 | -1 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 7.05 | 5 | -1.8 | 2.39 | 3 | 0-3 | -2.67 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Francis Howell Central | 15 | 14 | 16 | 17 | -7.44 | 1 | 61.62 | 36.84 | 38.4 | 0.072 | 38.4 | 0.522 | 38.0 | 35.2 | 42.0 | 9 | 0.182 | 0.873 | 0.034 | False | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 16 (prior finish 15). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 16 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.31 | 0.034 | 0.379 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 4.8 | 3.53 | 8.56 | 6 | -2.83 | 5.56 | 1 | 0-1 | -13.0 | |||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Villa Duchesne | 17 | 20 | 17 | 19 | -8.74 | 0 | 76.24 | 40.31 | 23.8 | 0.528 | 23.8 | 1.0 | 10.8 | 45.0 | 17.1 | 9 | 0.77 | 0.411 | 0.621 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 17 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.549 | 0.621 | 0.0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 7 | -0.69 | -0.54 | 8.19 | 8 | -5.88 | 5.19 | 4 | 0-4 | -9.75 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Ursuline Academy | 19 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 1.26 | -1 | 82.5 | 46.62 | 17.5 | 0.605 | 17.5 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 45.0 | 2.8 | 9 | 0.802 | 0.348 | 0.832 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 18 (prior finish 19). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 18 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.732 | 0.832 | 0.0 | 18 | 0 | -1 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 4.14 | 3.36 | 8.84 | 2 | -8.0 | 4.24 | 2 | 0-2 | -8.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Nerinx Hall | 18 | 24 | 19 | 23 | -10.91 | 1 | 69.45 | 45.23 | 30.5 | 0.473 | 30.5 | 0.954 | 9.2 | 41.9 | 42.0 | 9 | 0.685 | 0.407 | 0.267 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 19 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.847 | 0.267 | 0.0 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 6.53 | 4.67 | 9.89 | 4 | -7.25 | 5.56 | 2 | 0-2 | -11.5 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Lafayette | 21 | 28 | 20 | 24 | -11.54 | -1 | 88.84 | 47.8 | 11.2 | 0.761 | 11.2 | 1.0 | 24.8 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 8 | 0.6 | 0.248 | 0.874 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 20 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.655 | 0.874 | 0.0 | 20 | 0 | -1 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 11 | -6.0 | -5.14 | 8.61 | 10 | -10.2 | 3.29 | 7 | 0-7 | -11.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Kirkwood | 20 | 30 | 21 | 34 | -16.13 | 1 | 61.44 | 31.71 | 38.6 | 0.256 | 38.6 | 0.946 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 34.2 | 8 | 0.257 | 0.319 | 0.482 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 21 (prior finish 20). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 21 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.267 | 0.482 | 0.467 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0.08 | 0.31 | 9.92 | 4 | -11.5 | 3.7 | 3 | 0-3 | -10.0 | |||||||||
| 2024-25 | St. Dominic | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | -9.46 | 0 | 75.25 | 38.95 | 24.7 | 0.55 | 24.7 | 0.446 | 7.8 | 45.0 | 21.4 | 5 | 0.872 | 0.13 | 0.642 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 22 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.769 | 0.642 | 0.0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 2.08 | 1.33 | 8.66 | 4 | -6.5 | 4.2 | 1 | 0-1 | -9.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Francis Howell North | 24 | 25 | 23 | 25 | -11.64 | -1 | 71.31 | 39.72 | 28.7 | 0.481 | 28.7 | 0.321 | 38.0 | 6.1 | 42.0 | 4 | 0.38 | 0.196 | 0.266 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 23 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.537 | 0.266 | 0.0 | 23 | 0 | -1 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 3.59 | 1.65 | 11.91 | 5 | -8.2 | 5.22 | 1 | 0-1 | -6.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Lindbergh | 25 | 31 | 24 | 27 | -11.79 | -1 | 97.62 | 53.39 | 2.4 | 0.95 | 2.4 | 0.314 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.886 | 0.164 | 0.964 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 24 | model_adjusted | 0 | 1.0 | 0.964 | 0.0 | 24 | 0 | -1 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 8 | -1.21 | -0.93 | 9.07 | 4 | -11.5 | 3.32 | 1 | 0-1 | -11.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Parkway South | 23 | 26 | 25 | 30 | -13.56 | 2 | 67.76 | 34.11 | 32.2 | 0.418 | 32.2 | 0.634 | 38.0 | 17.2 | 42.0 | 6 | 0.318 | 0.078 | 0.274 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 25 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.4 | 0.274 | 0.2 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 3 | 12 | -4.73 | -4.4 | 8.91 | 10 | -9.7 | 3.37 | 7 | 0-7 | -11.57 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Webster Groves | 26 | 6 | 26 | 6 | -1.51 | 0 | 84.45 | 45.53 | 15.6 | 0.623 | 15.6 | 0.452 | 17.5 | 17.2 | 12.0 | 13 | 0.464 | 0.375 | 0.663 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 26 (prior finish 26). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 26 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.4 | 0.663 | 0.2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 1.91 | 0.36 | 11.33 | 2 | -10.5 | 2.12 | 1 | 0-1 | -12.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Fox High School | 29 | 12 | 27 | 7 | -1.83 | -2 | 96.65 | 51.96 | 3.4 | 0.849 | 3.4 | 0.266 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.769 | 0.389 | 0.941 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 27 (prior finish 29). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 27 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.643 | 0.941 | 0.0 | 27 | 0 | -2 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 6 | -2.67 | -1.42 | 10.52 | 2 | -13.0 | 2.83 | 1 | 0-1 | -11.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Parkway Central | 28 | 27 | 28 | 26 | -11.69 | 0 | 85.93 | 46.12 | 14.1 | 0.698 | 14.1 | 0.367 | 19.3 | 9.6 | 13.3 | 8 | 0.592 | 0.526 | 0.68 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 28 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.625 | 0.68 | 0.0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 10.33 | 3 | -10.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0-2 | -10.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Clayton | 27 | 32 | 29 | 35 | -16.46 | 2 | 60.1 | 31.62 | 39.9 | 0.226 | 39.9 | 0.43 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 36.7 | 7 | 0.273 | 0.297 | 0.525 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 29 (prior finish 27). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 29 | model_adjusted | -1 | returning_draw_control | 0.295 | 0.525 | 0.409 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 10 | -3.13 | -2.87 | 10.18 | 3 | -11.67 | 3.51 | 1 | 0-1 | -12.0 | |||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Incarnate Word | 32 | 29 | 30 | 32 | -14.1 | -2 | 76.92 | 34.44 | 23.1 | 0.507 | 23.1 | 0.103 | 24.2 | 32.3 | 12.7 | 6 | 0.722 | 0.158 | 0.792 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 30 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.333 | 0.792 | 0.333 | 30 | 0 | -2 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 9 | -6.8 | -5.9 | 6.63 | 3 | -11.33 | 1.53 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Oakville | 36 | 35 | 31 | 29 | -13.49 | -5 | 98.7 | 44.47 | 1.3 | 0.931 | 1.3 | 0.116 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.714 | 0.471 | 1.0 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior | large_move_vs_prior | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 31 (prior finish 36). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 31 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.788 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 31 | 0 | -5 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 9 | -4.77 | -3.54 | 10.59 | 3 | -13.33 | 1.53 | 1 | 0-1 | -12.0 | |||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Notre Dame | 35 | 34 | 32 | 31 | -14.08 | -3 | 91.05 | 50.86 | 9.0 | 0.788 | 9.0 | 0.212 | 14.8 | 0.0 | 12.1 | 2 | 0.861 | 0.531 | 0.74 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 32 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.712 | 0.74 | 0.0 | 32 | 0 | -3 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 10 | -5.62 | -5.31 | 9.58 | 3 | -13.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 0-1 | -10.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Parkway North | 37 | 19 | 33 | 13 | -5.58 | -4 | 100.0 | 32.87 | 0.0 | 0.729 | 0.0 | 0.235 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.967 | 0.047 | 0.962 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior;roster_margin_split | large_move_vs_prior | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 33 (prior finish 37). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 33 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 1.0 | 0.962 | 0.0 | 33 | 0 | -4 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 10 | -8.0 | -5.58 | 11.62 | 2 | -16.0 | 8.49 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Hazelwood West | 38 | 23 | 34 | 28 | -12.0 | -4 | 58.33 | 17.73 | 41.7 | 0.108 | 41.7 | 0.22 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 13 | 0.05 | 0.097 | 0.345 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior;low_returning_heavy_loss | large_move_vs_prior;low_returning_heavy_loss | 2 | 2 | yes | medium | confirm_roster_turnover;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 34 (prior finish 38). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior, low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 34 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.0 | 0.345 | 1.0 | 34 | 0 | -4 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 7 | -9.11 | -7.0 | 7.17 | 1 | -14.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Pattonville | 34 | 33 | 35 | 33 | -16.08 | 1 | 64.23 | 18.25 | 35.8 | 0.361 | 35.8 | 0.451 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 24.3 | 8 | 0.583 | 0.095 | 0.562 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 35 | model_adjusted | 0 | 1.0 | 0.562 | 0.0 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 14 | 0 | 14 | -11.64 | -9.57 | 2.68 | 9 | -11.78 | 2.11 | 5 | 0-5 | -12.2 |