ranking_outliers_2024_25
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 9 of 9 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| season | team_name | prior_finish_rank | current_composite_rank | recommended_rank | composite_rank_diagnostic | margin_strength_rank_diagnostic | projected_margin_rating | rank_delta_vs_prior | rank_delta_vs_composite | current_composite | projected_turnover_index | projected_composite | score_drop | returning_production_share | departure_loss_pct | legacy_prior | offense_lost_pct | defense_lost_pct | possession_lost_pct | seniors_count | late_underclass_goal_share | team_assist_rate | returning_draw_pct | feeder_pair_departing | roster_stat_adjustments | awards_points | departing_awards_points | returning_awards_points | departing_awards | returning_awards | actual_finish_rank | projection_error | flag_codes | action_flag_codes | info_flag_codes | flag_count | action_flag_count | needs_board_review | composite_split_note | review_priority | regression_tracks | board_note | program_notes | board_voted_rank | final_rank | final_rank_source | secondary_slot_delta | secondary_adjustment_reasons | returning_assist_share | returning_draw_share | feeder_gap | recommended_rank_adjusted | adjusted_rank_delta | adjusted_vs_prior | league_order_rank | margin_games | margin_wins | margin_losses | avg_margin | avg_margin_capped | margin_std | top16_games | avg_margin_vs_top16 | margin_std_vs_top16 | top8_games | record_vs_top8 | avg_margin_vs_top8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Rockwood Summit | 3 | 11 | 4 | 14 | -5.71 | 1 | 58.69 | 36.45 | 41.3 | 0.291 | 41.3 | 0.821 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 11 | 0.364 | 0.505 | 0.391 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 4 (prior finish 3). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 4 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.153 | 0.391 | 0.694 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 2.71 | 2.29 | 7.5 | 12 | -0.75 | 6.05 | 8 | 2-6 | -3.5 | |||||||||
| 2024-25 | Kirkwood | 20 | 30 | 21 | 34 | -16.13 | 1 | 61.44 | 31.71 | 38.6 | 0.256 | 38.6 | 0.946 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 34.2 | 8 | 0.257 | 0.319 | 0.482 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 21 (prior finish 20). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 21 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.267 | 0.482 | 0.467 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0.08 | 0.31 | 9.92 | 4 | -11.5 | 3.7 | 3 | 0-3 | -10.0 | |||||||||
| 2024-25 | Parkway North | 37 | 19 | 33 | 13 | -5.58 | -4 | 100.0 | 32.87 | 0.0 | 0.729 | 0.0 | 0.235 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.967 | 0.047 | 0.962 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior;roster_margin_split | large_move_vs_prior | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 33 (prior finish 37). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 33 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 1.0 | 0.962 | 0.0 | 33 | 0 | -4 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 10 | -8.0 | -5.58 | 11.62 | 2 | -16.0 | 8.49 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Hazelwood West | 38 | 23 | 34 | 28 | -12.0 | -4 | 58.33 | 17.73 | 41.7 | 0.108 | 41.7 | 0.22 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 13 | 0.05 | 0.097 | 0.345 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior;low_returning_heavy_loss | large_move_vs_prior;low_returning_heavy_loss | 2 | 2 | yes | medium | confirm_roster_turnover;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 34 (prior finish 38). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior, low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 34 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.0 | 0.345 | 1.0 | 34 | 0 | -4 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 7 | -9.11 | -7.0 | 7.17 | 1 | -14.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Wentzville | 5 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -4.76 | 1 | 58.89 | 36.66 | 41.1 | 0.079 | 41.1 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 11 | 0.153 | 0.437 | 0.156 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 6 (prior finish 5). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 6 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.212 | 0.156 | 0.577 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 6.31 | 6 | 0.17 | 2.14 | 5 | 2-3 | -0.4 | |||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Westminster | 14 | 18 | 14 | 20 | -9.23 | 0 | 59.94 | 30.65 | 40.1 | 0.205 | 40.1 | 0.779 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 38.1 | 10 | 0.19 | 0.319 | 0.423 | False | returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 14 (prior finish 14). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 14 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.244 | 0.423 | 0.511 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 9 | -1.0 | -1.5 | 8.88 | 12 | -4.42 | 5.82 | 7 | 0-7 | -7.57 | ||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Francis Howell Central | 15 | 14 | 16 | 17 | -7.44 | 1 | 61.62 | 36.84 | 38.4 | 0.072 | 38.4 | 0.522 | 38.0 | 35.2 | 42.0 | 9 | 0.182 | 0.873 | 0.034 | False | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 16 (prior finish 15). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 16 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.31 | 0.034 | 0.379 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 4.8 | 3.53 | 8.56 | 6 | -2.83 | 5.56 | 1 | 0-1 | -13.0 | |||||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Clayton | 27 | 32 | 29 | 35 | -16.46 | 2 | 60.1 | 31.62 | 39.9 | 0.226 | 39.9 | 0.43 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 36.7 | 7 | 0.273 | 0.297 | 0.525 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 29 (prior finish 27). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 29 | model_adjusted | -1 | returning_draw_control | 0.295 | 0.525 | 0.409 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 10 | -3.13 | -2.87 | 10.18 | 3 | -11.67 | 3.51 | 1 | 0-1 | -12.0 | |||||||||||
| 2024-25 | Oakville | 36 | 35 | 31 | 29 | -13.49 | -5 | 98.7 | 44.47 | 1.3 | 0.931 | 1.3 | 0.116 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.714 | 0.471 | 1.0 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior | large_move_vs_prior | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 31 (prior finish 36). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 31 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.788 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 31 | 0 | -5 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 9 | -4.77 | -3.54 | 10.59 | 3 | -13.33 | 1.53 | 1 | 0-1 | -12.0 |