ranking_outliers_2023_24
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 5 of 5 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| season | team_name | prior_finish_rank | current_composite_rank | recommended_rank | composite_rank_diagnostic | margin_strength_rank_diagnostic | projected_margin_rating | rank_delta_vs_prior | rank_delta_vs_composite | current_composite | projected_turnover_index | projected_composite | score_drop | returning_production_share | departure_loss_pct | legacy_prior | offense_lost_pct | defense_lost_pct | possession_lost_pct | seniors_count | late_underclass_goal_share | team_assist_rate | returning_draw_pct | feeder_pair_departing | roster_stat_adjustments | awards_points | departing_awards_points | returning_awards_points | departing_awards | returning_awards | actual_finish_rank | projection_error | flag_codes | action_flag_codes | info_flag_codes | flag_count | action_flag_count | needs_board_review | composite_split_note | review_priority | regression_tracks | board_note | program_notes | board_voted_rank | final_rank | final_rank_source | secondary_slot_delta | secondary_adjustment_reasons | returning_assist_share | returning_draw_share | feeder_gap | recommended_rank_adjusted | adjusted_rank_delta | adjusted_vs_prior | league_order_rank | margin_games | margin_wins | margin_losses | avg_margin | avg_margin_capped | margin_std | top16_games | avg_margin_vs_top16 | margin_std_vs_top16 | top8_games | record_vs_top8 | avg_margin_vs_top8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | St. Joseph's Academy | 5 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -5.7 | 1 | 60.81 | 40.88 | 39.2 | 0.286 | 39.2 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 36.3 | 9 | 0.297 | 0.639 | 0.466 | False | returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 6 (prior finish 5). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 6 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.527 | 0.466 | 0.0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 7.29 | 5.57 | 7.11 | 5 | -1.0 | 2.45 | 5 | 2-3 | -1.0 | |||||||||
| 2023-24 | Lafayette | 7 | 9 | 9 | 17 | -6.05 | 2 | 58.89 | 38.68 | 41.1 | 0.284 | 41.1 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 5 | 0.386 | 0.391 | 0.327 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 9 (prior finish 7). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 8 | model_adjusted | -2 | legacy_depth_floor;returning_feeder_core | 0.389 | 0.327 | 0.222 | 8 | -1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 3.86 | 3.36 | 8.15 | 8 | -1.12 | 7.53 | 6 | 2-4 | -3.33 | |||||||||
| 2023-24 | Ursuline Academy | 25 | 19 | 21 | 13 | -5.06 | -4 | 99.51 | 55.75 | 0.5 | 0.958 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.909 | 0.154 | 1.0 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior;roster_margin_split | large_move_vs_prior | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 21 (prior finish 25). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 21 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.875 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 21 | 0 | -4 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 6 | -0.36 | -0.55 | 6.86 | 4 | -5.0 | 1.41 | 1 | 0-1 | -6.0 | |||||||||
| 2023-24 | Fox High School | 22 | 17 | 23 | 22 | -8.13 | 1 | 68.26 | 45.54 | 31.7 | 0.277 | 31.7 | 0.335 | 38.0 | 15.2 | 42.0 | 9 | 0.0 | 0.483 | 0.045 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 23 (prior finish 22). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 23 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.138 | 0.045 | 0.724 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 8.92 | 3 | -4.33 | 1.15 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||||
| 2023-24 | Lindbergh | 21 | 13 | 24 | 23 | -8.29 | 3 | 58.68 | 32.53 | 41.3 | 0.232 | 41.3 | 0.325 | 38.0 | 44.0 | 42.0 | 8 | 0.235 | 0.23 | 0.25 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 24 (prior finish 21). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 24 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.312 | 0.25 | 0.375 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 7 | -1.62 | -1.62 | 5.27 | 6 | -3.33 | 5.16 | 1 | 0-1 | -8.0 |