ranking_outliers_2022_23
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 7 of 7 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| season | team_name | prior_finish_rank | current_composite_rank | recommended_rank | composite_rank_diagnostic | margin_strength_rank_diagnostic | projected_margin_rating | rank_delta_vs_prior | rank_delta_vs_composite | current_composite | projected_turnover_index | projected_composite | score_drop | returning_production_share | departure_loss_pct | legacy_prior | offense_lost_pct | defense_lost_pct | possession_lost_pct | seniors_count | late_underclass_goal_share | team_assist_rate | returning_draw_pct | feeder_pair_departing | roster_stat_adjustments | awards_points | departing_awards_points | returning_awards_points | departing_awards | returning_awards | actual_finish_rank | projection_error | flag_codes | action_flag_codes | info_flag_codes | flag_count | action_flag_count | needs_board_review | composite_split_note | review_priority | regression_tracks | board_note | program_notes | board_voted_rank | final_rank | final_rank_source | secondary_slot_delta | secondary_adjustment_reasons | returning_assist_share | returning_draw_share | feeder_gap | recommended_rank_adjusted | adjusted_rank_delta | adjusted_vs_prior | league_order_rank | margin_games | margin_wins | margin_losses | avg_margin | avg_margin_capped | margin_std | top16_games | avg_margin_vs_top16 | margin_std_vs_top16 | top8_games | record_vs_top8 | avg_margin_vs_top8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | Edwardsville | 32 | 15 | 28 | 14 | -4.33 | -4 | 100.0 | 36.92 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.061 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | False | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior;roster_margin_split | large_move_vs_prior | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 28 (prior finish 32). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 28 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28 | 0 | -4 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 4 | -7.67 | -4.33 | 11.6 | 1 | -12.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
| 2022-23 | Belleville West | 6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 5.0 | 1 | 58.33 | 50.05 | 41.7 | 0.204 | 41.7 | 0.482 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 9 | 0.297 | 0.378 | 0.17 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 7 (prior finish 6). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 6 | model_adjusted | -1 | returning_feeder_core | 0.373 | 0.17 | 0.254 | 6 | -1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 15.38 | 10.0 | 3.58 | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2022-23 | Visitation Academy | 14 | 19 | 15 | 21 | -11.2 | 1 | 73.33 | 40.35 | 26.7 | 0.076 | 26.7 | 0.421 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 11 | 0.074 | 0.259 | 0.143 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 15 (prior finish 14). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 15 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.0 | 0.143 | 1.0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0.73 | 0.13 | 10.73 | 8 | -8.0 | 5.07 | 3 | 0-3 | -11.67 | ||||||||||||
| 2022-23 | Clayton | 15 | 8 | 16 | 10 | -1.93 | 1 | 58.33 | 32.34 | 41.7 | 0.246 | 41.7 | 0.478 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 5 | 0.367 | 0.376 | 0.336 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 16 (prior finish 15). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 16 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.508 | 0.336 | 0.0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 5.64 | 3.07 | 9.83 | 2 | -7.5 | 3.54 | 2 | 0-2 | -7.5 | ||||||||||||
| 2022-23 | Nerinx Hall | 23 | 17 | 23 | 20 | -10.93 | 0 | 69.29 | 36.93 | 30.7 | 0.276 | 30.7 | 0.965 | 37.9 | 13.8 | 42.0 | 8 | 0.479 | 0.219 | 0.307 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 23 (prior finish 23). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 22 | model_adjusted | -2 | late_underclass_surge;returning_feeder_core | 0.435 | 0.307 | 0.13 | 22 | -1 | -1 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 8 | -1.29 | -1.29 | 9.9 | 8 | -7.25 | 5.78 | 2 | 0-2 | -13.0 | |||||||||||
| 2022-23 | Ladue Horton Watkins | 28 | 27 | 24 | 23 | -11.64 | -4 | 100.0 | 37.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.081 | 0.0 | False | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior | large_move_vs_prior | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 24 (prior finish 28). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 24 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24 | 0 | -4 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 13 | -8.69 | -6.81 | 6.82 | 11 | -11.64 | 4.9 | 6 | 0-6 | -13.17 | ||||||||||||
| 2022-23 | Incarnate Word | 29 | 31 | 30 | 32 | -16.2 | 1 | 73.33 | 40.78 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 26.7 | 0.127 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.31 | 0.0 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 30 (prior finish 29). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 30 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.389 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 6 | -4.78 | -4.0 | 10.11 | 3 | -13.0 | 4.36 | 0 | 0.0 |