ranking_outliers_2021_22
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 11 of 11 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| season | team_name | prior_finish_rank | current_composite_rank | recommended_rank | composite_rank_diagnostic | margin_strength_rank_diagnostic | projected_margin_rating | rank_delta_vs_prior | rank_delta_vs_composite | current_composite | projected_turnover_index | projected_composite | score_drop | returning_production_share | departure_loss_pct | legacy_prior | offense_lost_pct | defense_lost_pct | possession_lost_pct | seniors_count | late_underclass_goal_share | team_assist_rate | returning_draw_pct | feeder_pair_departing | roster_stat_adjustments | awards_points | departing_awards_points | returning_awards_points | departing_awards | returning_awards | actual_finish_rank | projection_error | flag_codes | action_flag_codes | info_flag_codes | flag_count | action_flag_count | needs_board_review | composite_split_note | review_priority | regression_tracks | board_note | program_notes | board_voted_rank | final_rank | final_rank_source | secondary_slot_delta | secondary_adjustment_reasons | returning_assist_share | returning_draw_share | feeder_gap | recommended_rank_adjusted | adjusted_rank_delta | adjusted_vs_prior | league_order_rank | margin_games | margin_wins | margin_losses | avg_margin | avg_margin_capped | margin_std | top16_games | avg_margin_vs_top16 | margin_std_vs_top16 | top8_games | record_vs_top8 | avg_margin_vs_top8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | St. Dominic | 19 | 18 | 23 | 20 | -9.24 | 4 | 59.68 | 35.71 | 40.3 | 0.194 | 40.3 | 0.436 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 38.0 | 12 | 0.103 | 0.28 | 0.42 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior;low_returning_heavy_loss | large_move_vs_prior;low_returning_heavy_loss | 2 | 2 | yes | medium | confirm_roster_turnover;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 23 (prior finish 19). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior, low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 23 | model_adjusted | -1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.224 | 0.42 | 0.551 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 3.87 | 3.0 | 7.99 | 5 | -4.4 | 3.44 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2021-22 | O'Fallon | 31 | 23 | 30 | 22 | -9.68 | -1 | 73.54 | 34.89 | 26.5 | 0.161 | 26.5 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 1.0 | 42.0 | 10 | 0.2 | 0.125 | 0.15 | False | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 30 (prior finish 31). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 29 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 1.0 | 0.15 | 0.0 | 29 | -1 | -2 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -8.5 | -6.5 | 6.4 | 1 | -13.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0-1 | -13.0 | ||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Notre Dame | 33 | 17 | 32 | 21 | -9.33 | -1 | 58.33 | 28.59 | 41.7 | 0.347 | 41.7 | 0.235 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 8 | 0.424 | 0.371 | 0.388 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 32 (prior finish 33). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 31 | model_adjusted | -1 | late_underclass_surge | 0.346 | 0.388 | 0.308 | 31 | -1 | -2 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 11 | -5.5 | -4.33 | 6.45 | 2 | -14.0 | 2.83 | 0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Incarnate Word | 30 | 22 | 31 | 23 | -10.43 | 1 | 58.33 | 35.22 | 41.7 | 0.16 | 41.7 | 0.119 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 9 | 0.12 | 0.267 | 0.34 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 31 (prior finish 30). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 32 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.174 | 0.34 | 0.652 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 11 | -5.93 | -5.43 | 5.9 | 2 | -7.0 | 5.66 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Marquette | 4 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -3.41 | 1 | 58.76 | 33.97 | 41.2 | 0.136 | 41.2 | 0.88 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 11 | 0.186 | 0.343 | 0.082 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 5 (prior finish 4). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 4 | model_adjusted | -2 | legacy_depth_floor;returning_feeder_core | 0.437 | 0.082 | 0.126 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 2.96 | 2.61 | 6.25 | 19 | 1.53 | 5.38 | 11 | 3-8 | -2.0 | |||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Ladue Horton Watkins | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1.34 | 1 | 68.26 | 42.86 | 31.7 | 0.273 | 31.7 | 0.989 | 38.0 | 16.9 | 42.0 | 10 | 0.021 | 0.402 | 0.068 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 6 (prior finish 5). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 6 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.04 | 0.068 | 0.92 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 5.78 | 4.5 | 6.36 | 13 | 2.46 | 3.69 | 5 | 3-2 | 1.6 | |||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Cor Jesu Academy | 8 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -5.33 | 1 | 60.09 | 39.41 | 39.9 | 0.337 | 39.9 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 38.4 | 7 | 0.479 | 0.359 | 0.357 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 9 (prior finish 8). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 7 | model_adjusted | -2 | late_underclass_surge;returning_feeder_core | 0.398 | 0.357 | 0.205 | 7 | -2 | -1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 3.65 | 2.7 | 7.9 | 13 | -0.54 | 5.35 | 8 | 2-6 | -2.25 | |||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Parkway South | 12 | 20 | 8 | 10 | -5.0 | -4 | 100.0 | 62.76 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.596 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.508 | 0.0 | False | 0 | 0 | 0 | large_move_vs_prior | large_move_vs_prior | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 8 (prior finish 12). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 9 | model_adjusted | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 1 | -3 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 3.81 | 2.38 | 9.21 | 7 | -5.0 | 3.42 | 3 | 0-3 | -6.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Parkway West | 9 | 10 | 11 | 14 | -5.35 | 2 | 68.5 | 41.82 | 31.5 | 0.318 | 31.5 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 16.2 | 42.0 | 13 | 0.129 | 0.288 | 0.051 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 11 (prior finish 9). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 11 | model_adjusted | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.273 | 0.051 | 0.455 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1.45 | 1.6 | 7.48 | 14 | -1.57 | 6.39 | 8 | 3-5 | -4.25 | |||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Webster Groves | 25 | 26 | 27 | 31 | -14.78 | 2 | 70.27 | 36.41 | 29.7 | 0.005 | 29.7 | 0.507 | 38.0 | 9.2 | 42.0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.25 | 0.0 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 27 (prior finish 25). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 27 | model_adjusted | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 3 | 14 | -7.12 | -5.41 | 6.79 | 9 | -11.22 | 5.33 | 3 | 0-3 | -15.33 | ||||||||||||
| 2021-22 | Parkway Central | 32 | 31 | 33 | 33 | -19.12 | 1 | 58.33 | 22.69 | 41.7 | 0.259 | 41.7 | 0.412 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 11 | 0.361 | 0.383 | 0.226 | False | 0 | 0 | 0 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 33 (prior finish 32). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 33 | model_adjusted | -1 | returning_feeder_core | 0.389 | 0.226 | 0.222 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 13 | 1 | 12 | -9.46 | -6.77 | 6.94 | 8 | -14.12 | 3.23 | 4 | 0-4 | -15.5 |