feature_signal_summary
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 5 of 5 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| feature | hypothesis | n | spearman_vs_actual_delta | roster_beats_naive_top_half | roster_beats_naive_bottom_half | delta_mae_top_minus_bottom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| departure_loss_pct | Higher loss → worse finish (positive actual_delta) | 88 | 0.349 | 0.273 | 0.25 | -0.25 |
| returning_share | Higher returning → better finish (negative actual_delta) | 88 | -0.371 | 0.182 | 0.341 | 0.07 |
| margin_rank | Margin rank vs prior finish gap | 88 | -0.139 | 0.267 | 0.256 | 0.1 |
| legacy_prior | Legacy program protection | 88 | 0.018 | 0.239 | 0.286 | -0.18 |
| model_move | Roster model proposed move vs prior | 88 | 0.298 | 0.219 | 0.467 | -0.49 |