backtest__team_power_2024_25
Backtest holdout (2024-25 → 2026) · 34 of 34 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| team_name | offense_score | defense_score | possession_score | margin_strength_rating | games_scored | finish_rank | finish_tier | possession_baseline_used | margin_games | margin_wins | margin_losses | avg_margin | avg_margin_capped | margin_std | top16_games | avg_margin_vs_top16 | margin_std_vs_top16 | top8_games | record_vs_top8 | avg_margin_vs_top8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Burroughs | 78.81 | 64.4 | 71.67 | 7.57 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 16.0 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 8.12 | 7.12 | 5.26 | 14 | 7.57 | 5.42 | 8 | 6-2 | 5.0 |
| Eureka | 72.06 | 59.98 | 77.38 | 5.94 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 16.0 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 5.94 | 5.25 | 6.24 | 16 | 5.94 | 6.24 | 9 | 7-2 | 1.67 |
| Parkway Central | 71.64 | 59.76 | 79.65 | 5.83 | 12 | 23 | 4 | 16.0 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 7.17 | 5.83 | 7.27 | 1 | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| MICDS | 77.48 | 70.21 | 81.16 | 5.27 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 16.0 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 6.47 | 5.53 | 7.52 | 15 | 5.27 | 7.17 | 10 | 6-4 | 2.4 |
| Ladue Horton Watkins | 64.56 | 73.34 | 64.39 | 3.77 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 16.0 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 4.29 | 4.07 | 5.76 | 13 | 3.77 | 5.64 | 7 | 3-4 | -0.43 |
| Cor Jesu Academy | 68.72 | 73.43 | 76.49 | 3.15 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 16.0 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 5.89 | 4.78 | 6.76 | 13 | 3.15 | 5.86 | 7 | 4-3 | -0.57 |
| St. Joseph's Academy | 66.01 | 56.58 | 64.64 | 0.36 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 16.0 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 4.06 | 3.19 | 7.88 | 11 | 0.36 | 6.65 | 6 | 1-5 | -3.17 |
| Westminster | 62.95 | 61.79 | 62.08 | -1.3 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 16.0 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 2.67 | 2.4 | 8.66 | 10 | -1.3 | 7.67 | 5 | 1-4 | -5.8 |
| Oakville | 49.59 | 67.58 | 57.68 | -1.31 | 13 | 32 | 4 | 16.0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | -1.38 | -1.31 | 9.25 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Clayton | 43.7 | 57.37 | 44.92 | -1.36 | 13 | 29 | 4 | 16.0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | -1.79 | -1.36 | 8.78 | 1 | -11.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0-1 | -11.0 |
| Fox High School | 47.49 | 73.77 | 45.3 | -1.45 | 11 | 33 | 4 | 16.0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | -1.27 | -1.45 | 6.87 | 1 | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Marquette | 55.83 | 60.07 | 67.92 | -1.91 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16.0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | -1.17 | -1.17 | 6.31 | 11 | -1.91 | 6.04 | 6 | 1-5 | -5.17 |
| Webster Groves | 58.75 | 75.8 | 51.99 | -2.0 | 13 | 20 | 4 | 16.0 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 3.6 | 2.87 | 6.96 | 3 | -2.0 | 4.58 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Edwardsville | 39.57 | 61.09 | 0.0 | -2.09 | 10 | 37 | 4 | 16.0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | -3.18 | -2.09 | 8.44 | 2 | -15.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0-2 | -15.0 |
| Lafayette | 59.54 | 58.17 | 63.58 | -3.29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 16.0 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 7 | -3.29 | 5.96 | 3 | 0-3 | -9.33 |
| O'Fallon | 55.76 | 57.83 | 66.92 | -3.29 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 16.0 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 4.08 | 2.15 | 9.85 | 7 | -3.29 | 5.44 | 4 | 0-4 | -6.0 |
| Francis Howell | 56.04 | 63.12 | 58.92 | -4.22 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 16.0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | -1.29 | -0.93 | 6.68 | 9 | -4.22 | 5.31 | 3 | 0-3 | -7.67 |
| Kirkwood | 56.51 | 52.49 | 45.92 | -4.5 | 11 | 22 | 4 | 16.0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1.0 | 0.23 | 8.78 | 4 | -4.5 | 4.51 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Parkway West | 52.13 | 51.19 | 44.6 | -4.5 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 16.0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | -2.67 | -2.28 | 6.55 | 14 | -4.5 | 5.92 | 9 | 1-8 | -6.78 |
| Lindbergh | 57.16 | 60.99 | 53.34 | -4.6 | 14 | 24 | 4 | 16.0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 2.47 | 2.2 | 6.71 | 5 | -4.6 | 3.05 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Parkway South | 56.01 | 61.33 | 54.56 | -5.0 | 16 | 26 | 4 | 16.0 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1.56 | 1.19 | 7.61 | 4 | -5.0 | 3.27 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Visitation Academy | 55.78 | 55.56 | 50.5 | -5.27 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 16.0 | 17 | 9 | 8 | -0.12 | -0.12 | 9.03 | 11 | -5.27 | 6.4 | 7 | 1-6 | -8.43 |
| St. Dominic | 62.34 | 53.8 | 59.92 | -5.4 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 16.0 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.36 | 0.93 | 7.67 | 5 | -5.4 | 5.03 | 3 | 0-3 | -8.0 |
| Wentzville | 51.89 | 48.39 | 56.62 | -5.44 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 16.0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | -2.73 | -3.09 | 9.26 | 9 | -5.44 | 5.83 | 6 | 1-5 | -7.5 |
| Rockwood Summit | 54.81 | 59.38 | 59.12 | -6.82 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 16.0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | -4.5 | -3.93 | 6.68 | 11 | -6.82 | 5.38 | 7 | 0-7 | -9.57 |
| Ursuline Academy | 51.98 | 61.41 | 58.06 | -6.86 | 16 | 19 | 4 | 16.0 | 16 | 7 | 9 | -0.62 | -0.19 | 8.27 | 7 | -6.86 | 6.74 | 3 | 0-3 | -13.0 |
| Northwest | 64.15 | 63.36 | 56.35 | -7.33 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 16.0 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1.73 | 1.93 | 6.6 | 3 | -7.33 | 7.37 | 2 | 0-2 | -11.5 |
| Villa Duchesne | 64.29 | 30.16 | 41.35 | -7.71 | 11 | 21 | 4 | 16.0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | -1.29 | -1.5 | 8.72 | 7 | -7.71 | 4.35 | 3 | 0-3 | -11.67 |
| Nerinx Hall | 67.17 | 57.41 | 60.82 | -8.0 | 13 | 18 | 4 | 16.0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | -0.14 | -0.71 | 7.93 | 5 | -8.0 | 3.94 | 2 | 0-2 | -10.0 |
| Francis Howell Central | 49.99 | 40.53 | 51.27 | -8.5 | 12 | 25 | 4 | 16.0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | -3.0 | -2.77 | 6.78 | 4 | -8.5 | 4.43 | 1 | 0-1 | -10.0 |
| Francis Howell North | 42.41 | 64.11 | 41.16 | -11.0 | 14 | 28 | 4 | 16.0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | -4.0 | -3.36 | 8.58 | 3 | -11.0 | 1.73 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Notre Dame | 50.59 | 35.5 | 35.13 | -13.67 | 9 | 27 | 4 | 16.0 | 11 | 3 | 7 | -3.91 | -2.64 | 10.51 | 3 | -13.67 | 1.15 | 2 | 0-2 | -13.0 |
| Incarnate Word | 35.2 | 47.64 | 42.64 | -13.8 | 14 | 30 | 4 | 16.0 | 14 | 0 | 13 | -11.21 | -8.71 | 4.69 | 5 | -13.8 | 2.17 | 3 | 0-3 | -13.67 |
| Belleville West | 44.17 | 36.65 | 38.64 | -15.0 | 9 | 38 | 4 | 16.0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | -2.27 | -1.0 | 10.75 | 3 | -15.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0-3 | -15.0 |