backtest__ranking_recommendations_2025_26_backtest
Backtest holdout (2024-25 → 2026) · 34 of 34 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| season | team_name | prior_finish_rank | current_composite_rank | recommended_rank | composite_rank_diagnostic | margin_strength_rank_diagnostic | projected_margin_rating | rank_delta_vs_prior | rank_delta_vs_composite | current_composite | projected_turnover_index | projected_composite | score_drop | returning_production_share | departure_loss_pct | legacy_prior | offense_lost_pct | defense_lost_pct | possession_lost_pct | seniors_count | late_underclass_goal_share | team_assist_rate | returning_draw_pct | feeder_pair_departing | roster_stat_adjustments | awards_points | departing_awards_points | returning_awards_points | departing_awards | returning_awards | actual_finish_rank | projection_error | flag_codes | action_flag_codes | info_flag_codes | flag_count | action_flag_count | needs_board_review | composite_split_note | review_priority | regression_tracks | board_note | program_notes | board_voted_rank | final_rank | final_rank_source | secondary_slot_delta | secondary_adjustment_reasons | returning_assist_share | returning_draw_share | feeder_gap | recommended_rank_adjusted | adjusted_rank_delta | adjusted_vs_prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025_26_backtest | John Burroughs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7.53 | 0 | 99.68 | 70.97 | 0.3 | 0.968 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 7 | 0.922 | 0.363 | 0.982 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.895 | 0.982 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | MICDS | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2.39 | 0 | 76.05 | 57.49 | 24.0 | 0.546 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 19.7 | 45.0 | 8.8 | 8 | 0.657 | 0.453 | 0.82 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.39 | 0.82 | 0.219 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Eureka | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4.38 | 0 | 87.03 | 59.39 | 13.0 | 0.729 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 34.7 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 4 | 0.485 | 0.416 | 0.887 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.506 | 0.887 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Ladue Horton Watkins | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -0.69 | 1 | 62.82 | 41.61 | 37.2 | 0.359 | 37.2 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 30.2 | 9 | 0.371 | 0.377 | 0.544 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 5 (prior finish 4). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | -2 | legacy_depth_floor;returning_feeder_core;returning_draw_control | 0.365 | 0.544 | 0.27 | 4 | -1 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Cor Jesu Academy | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0.59 | -1 | 78.71 | 57.2 | 21.3 | 0.696 | 21.3 | 1.0 | 19.1 | 9.0 | 37.5 | 5 | 0.615 | 0.304 | 0.439 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.833 | 0.439 | 0.0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | St. Joseph's Academy | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -4.01 | 1 | 63.64 | 39.27 | 36.4 | 0.371 | 36.4 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 34.1 | 38.7 | 8 | 0.48 | 0.716 | 0.378 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 7 (prior finish 6). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | -2 | late_underclass_surge;returning_feeder_core | 0.424 | 0.378 | 0.132 | 6 | -1 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Westminster | 7 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -3.78 | -1 | 79.34 | 49.87 | 20.7 | 0.567 | 20.7 | 0.843 | 6.8 | 14.3 | 42.0 | 17 | 0.794 | 0.306 | 0.16 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -3 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.745 | 0.16 | 0.0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Visitation Academy | 10 | 22 | 8 | 12 | -5.34 | -2 | 99.44 | 53.76 | 0.6 | 0.971 | 0.6 | 0.546 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.938 | 0.244 | 0.987 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 1.0 | 0.987 | 0.0 | 8 | 0 | -2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | O'Fallon | 8 | 16 | 10 | 23 | -8.11 | 2 | 59.84 | 35.45 | 40.2 | 0.259 | 40.2 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 39.1 | 9 | 0.373 | 0.389 | 0.477 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 10 (prior finish 8). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.137 | 0.477 | 0.725 | 9 | -1 | 1 | |||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Marquette | 9 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -5.61 | 0 | 69.2 | 42.06 | 30.8 | 0.513 | 30.8 | 0.91 | 38.0 | 13.8 | 42.0 | 7 | 0.292 | 0.133 | 0.401 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | -5 | backtest_large_error | backtest_large_error | 1 | 1 | yes | high | post_hoc_regression_candidate | Recommend rank 9 (prior finish 9). Flagged for board review: backtest_large_error. Suggested follow-up: post_hoc_regression_candidate. | 1 | backtest_error_shrink | 0.375 | 0.401 | 0.25 | 10 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Lafayette | 11 | 15 | 11 | 15 | -6.05 | 0 | 76.99 | 46.05 | 23.0 | 0.585 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 9.2 | 45.0 | 16.5 | 4 | 0.742 | 0.62 | 0.654 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.786 | 0.654 | 0.0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Rockwood Summit | 13 | 25 | 12 | 21 | -8.04 | -1 | 89.82 | 51.75 | 10.2 | 0.733 | 10.2 | 0.817 | 17.2 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 10 | 0.66 | 0.347 | 0.685 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -4 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 12 (prior finish 13). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 0 | 0.558 | 0.685 | 0.0 | 12 | 0 | -1 | ||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Parkway West | 12 | 19 | 13 | 22 | -8.11 | 1 | 69.89 | 34.84 | 30.1 | 0.311 | 30.1 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 12.0 | 42.0 | 12 | 0.07 | 0.169 | 0.143 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | -4 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 13 (prior finish 12). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | -1 | legacy_depth_floor | 0.042 | 0.143 | 0.917 | 13 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | St. Dominic | 14 | 23 | 14 | 20 | -8.0 | 0 | 78.3 | 46.13 | 21.7 | 0.548 | 21.7 | 0.499 | 17.1 | 16.1 | 31.8 | 8 | 0.62 | 0.271 | 0.425 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.6 | 0.425 | 0.0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Wentzville | 15 | 24 | 15 | 26 | -8.98 | 0 | 70.45 | 36.7 | 29.5 | 0.466 | 29.5 | 0.807 | 14.9 | 45.0 | 29.8 | 8 | 0.745 | 0.287 | 0.531 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 15 (prior finish 15). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 0 | 0.793 | 0.531 | 0.0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Northwest | 16 | 27 | 16 | 29 | -10.77 | 0 | 71.27 | 44.48 | 28.7 | 0.514 | 28.7 | 0.57 | 38.0 | 6.4 | 42.0 | 11 | 0.387 | 0.272 | 0.309 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 16 (prior finish 16). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 0 | 0.457 | 0.309 | 0.087 | 16 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Francis Howell | 17 | 17 | 17 | 25 | -8.84 | 0 | 61.48 | 36.38 | 38.5 | 0.315 | 38.5 | 0.55 | 28.7 | 45.0 | 42.0 | 8 | 0.527 | 0.561 | 0.312 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | -7 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss;backtest_large_error | low_returning_heavy_loss;backtest_large_error | roster_margin_split | 3 | 2 | yes | also | high | post_hoc_regression_candidate;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 17 (prior finish 17). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss, backtest_large_error. Suggested follow-up: post_hoc_regression_candidate; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 0 | late_underclass_surge | 0.346 | 0.312 | 0.308 | 17 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Villa Duchesne | 21 | 28 | 19 | 19 | -7.75 | -2 | 99.71 | 45.19 | 0.3 | 0.715 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.932 | 0.377 | 1.0 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | backtest_large_error | backtest_large_error | 1 | 1 | yes | high | post_hoc_regression_candidate | Recommend rank 19 (prior finish 21). Flagged for board review: backtest_large_error. Suggested follow-up: post_hoc_regression_candidate. | -1 | backtest_error_shrink | 0.674 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 18 | -1 | -3 | |||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Nerinx Hall | 18 | 29 | 18 | 28 | -10.33 | 0 | 80.62 | 49.79 | 19.4 | 0.576 | 19.4 | 0.927 | 6.8 | 45.0 | 7.7 | 11 | 0.68 | 0.393 | 0.796 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | -4 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 18 (prior finish 18). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 0 | 0.712 | 0.796 | 0.0 | 19 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Ursuline Academy | 19 | 26 | 20 | 30 | -11.41 | 1 | 62.07 | 35.25 | 37.9 | 0.268 | 37.9 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 35.5 | 42.0 | 6 | 0.403 | 0.201 | 0.23 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 20 (prior finish 19). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | -1 | late_underclass_surge | 0.179 | 0.23 | 0.643 | 20 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Parkway Central | 23 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 4.08 | -2 | 85.41 | 59.51 | 14.6 | 0.726 | 14.6 | 0.362 | 11.3 | 7.5 | 25.0 | 7 | 0.721 | 0.494 | 0.508 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | -7 | roster_margin_split;backtest_large_error | backtest_large_error | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | high | post_hoc_regression_candidate | Recommend rank 21 (prior finish 23). Flagged for board review: backtest_large_error. Suggested follow-up: post_hoc_regression_candidate. | 0 | returning_draw_control | 0.562 | 0.508 | 0.0 | 21 | 0 | -2 | |||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Kirkwood | 22 | 18 | 22 | 16 | -6.4 | 0 | 84.2 | 44.07 | 15.8 | 0.51 | 15.8 | 0.912 | 16.0 | 3.8 | 29.0 | 2 | 0.691 | 0.135 | 0.548 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | -1 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.667 | 0.548 | 0.0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Webster Groves | 20 | 13 | 23 | 17 | -6.8 | 3 | 59.96 | 37.15 | 40.0 | 0.309 | 40.0 | 0.448 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 37.1 | 10 | 0.382 | 0.257 | 0.438 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 23 (prior finish 20). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | -1 | returning_feeder_core | 0.405 | 0.438 | 0.189 | 23 | 0 | 3 | |||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Parkway South | 26 | 21 | 25 | 18 | -7.51 | -1 | 79.07 | 46.27 | 20.9 | 0.62 | 20.9 | 0.614 | 21.6 | 2.5 | 39.1 | 5 | 0.55 | 0.215 | 0.397 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | backtest_large_error | backtest_large_error | 1 | 1 | yes | high | post_hoc_regression_candidate | Recommend rank 25 (prior finish 26). Flagged for board review: backtest_large_error. Suggested follow-up: post_hoc_regression_candidate. | -1 | backtest_error_shrink | 0.429 | 0.397 | 0.143 | 24 | -1 | -2 | |||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Francis Howell Central | 25 | 30 | 24 | 27 | -9.99 | -1 | 87.62 | 40.82 | 12.4 | 0.253 | 12.4 | 0.45 | 27.2 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 5 | 0.435 | 0.227 | 0.423 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | -2 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.318 | 0.423 | 0.136 | 25 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Lindbergh | 24 | 20 | 26 | 24 | -8.75 | 2 | 65.41 | 37.96 | 34.6 | 0.374 | 34.6 | 0.326 | 38.0 | 23.8 | 42.0 | 9 | 0.238 | 0.118 | 0.324 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 5 | low_returning_heavy_loss;backtest_large_error | low_returning_heavy_loss;backtest_large_error | 2 | 2 | yes | high | post_hoc_regression_candidate;underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 26 (prior finish 24). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss, backtest_large_error. Suggested follow-up: post_hoc_regression_candidate; underclass_surge_or_replacement. | -1 | backtest_error_shrink | 0.294 | 0.324 | 0.412 | 26 | 0 | 2 | |||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Notre Dame | 27 | 32 | 27 | 32 | -15.51 | 0 | 84.74 | 35.1 | 15.3 | 0.604 | 15.3 | 0.196 | 2.7 | 29.1 | 14.0 | 8 | 0.857 | 0.218 | 0.8 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | -4 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.647 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Clayton | 29 | 10 | 28 | 8 | -2.48 | -1 | 90.68 | 44.81 | 9.3 | 0.777 | 9.3 | 0.393 | 11.5 | 0.9 | 15.6 | 5 | 0.767 | 0.294 | 0.67 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 28 (prior finish 29). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 0 | 0.68 | 0.67 | 0.0 | 28 | 0 | -1 | ||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Francis Howell North | 28 | 31 | 29 | 31 | -13.83 | 1 | 76.44 | 37.33 | 23.6 | 0.57 | 23.6 | 0.296 | 25.6 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 14 | 0.489 | 0.412 | 0.702 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | no | Roster model aligns with priors; no secondary review required. | 0 | 0.714 | 0.702 | 0.0 | 29 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Incarnate Word | 30 | 33 | 30 | 34 | -18.18 | 0 | 63.5 | 26.81 | 36.5 | 0.307 | 36.5 | 0.099 | 38.0 | 29.5 | 42.0 | 7 | 0.125 | 0.233 | 0.286 | True | feeder_pair_offense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | -2 | low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 30 (prior finish 30). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | 0 | 0.0 | 0.286 | 1.0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Fox High School | 33 | 11 | 31 | 11 | -4.04 | -2 | 78.44 | 41.14 | 21.6 | 0.575 | 21.6 | 0.185 | 19.7 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 0.516 | 0.321 | 0.905 | True | feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | roster_margin_split | roster_margin_split | 1 | 0 | no | yes | medium | Recommend rank 31 (prior finish 33). Flagged for board review: roster_margin_split. Suggested follow-up: margin_vs_roster_review. | 0 | 0.556 | 0.905 | 0.0 | 31 | 0 | -2 | ||||||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Oakville | 32 | 9 | 33 | 13 | -5.49 | 1 | 65.21 | 37.38 | 34.8 | 0.445 | 34.8 | 0.107 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 21.4 | 12 | 0.333 | 0.296 | 0.655 | True | feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | roster_margin_split;low_returning_heavy_loss | low_returning_heavy_loss | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | underclass_surge_or_replacement | Recommend rank 33 (prior finish 32). Flagged for board review: low_returning_heavy_loss. Suggested follow-up: underclass_surge_or_replacement. | -1 | returning_draw_control | 0.219 | 0.655 | 0.562 | 32 | -1 | 0 | |||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Edwardsville | 37 | 14 | 32 | 7 | -2.43 | -5 | 97.24 | 34.09 | 2.8 | 0.544 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.667 | 0.492 | 0.0 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | -4 | large_move_vs_prior;roster_margin_split | large_move_vs_prior | roster_margin_split | 2 | 1 | yes | also | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 32 (prior finish 37). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 1 | prior_blend_25pct | 0.069 | 0.0 | 0.862 | 33 | 1 | -4 | |||||||||
| 2025_26_backtest | Belleville West | 38 | 34 | 34 | 33 | -16.15 | -4 | 90.4 | 36.37 | 9.6 | 0.565 | 9.6 | 0.205 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 24.4 | 5 | 0.87 | 0.0 | 0.6 | False | late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | -3 | large_move_vs_prior | large_move_vs_prior | 1 | 1 | yes | medium | confirm_roster_turnover | Recommend rank 34 (prior finish 38). Flagged for board review: large_move_vs_prior. Suggested follow-up: confirm_roster_turnover. | 0 | prior_blend_25pct;returning_draw_control | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 34 | 0 | -4 |