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backtest__projected_power_2025_26

Backtest holdout (2024-25 → 2026) · 34 of 34 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22

team_name projected_turnover_index projected_composite score_drop legacy_turnover_relief_pct turnover_severity_pct returning_production_share departure_loss_pct offense_lost_pct defense_lost_pct possession_lost_pct seniors_count finish_rank legacy_prior late_underclass_goal_share team_assist_rate returning_draw_pct feeder_pair_departing roster_stat_adjustments awards_points departing_awards_points returning_awards_points departing_awards returning_awards
Villa Duchesne 99.71 45.19 0.3 0.56 0.3 0.715 0.3 0.0 2.5 0.0 5 21 1.0 0.932 0.377 1.0 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
John Burroughs 99.68 70.97 0.3 0.56 0.3 0.968 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.0 7 1 1.0 0.922 0.363 0.982 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Visitation Academy 99.44 53.76 0.6 0.05 0.6 0.971 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.0 4 10 0.546 0.938 0.244 0.987 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Edwardsville 97.24 34.09 2.8 0.0 2.8 0.544 2.8 8.3 0.0 0.0 13 37 0.0 0.667 0.492 0.0 False late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0
Clayton 90.68 44.81 9.3 0.0 9.3 0.777 9.3 11.5 0.9 15.6 5 29 0.393 0.767 0.294 0.67 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Belleville West 90.4 36.37 9.6 0.0 9.6 0.565 9.6 4.4 0.0 24.4 5 38 0.205 0.87 0.0 0.6 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Rockwood Summit 89.82 51.75 10.2 0.35 10.2 0.733 10.2 17.2 2.9 11.5 10 13 0.817 0.66 0.347 0.685 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Francis Howell Central 87.62 40.82 12.4 0.0 12.4 0.253 12.4 27.2 3.8 6.2 5 25 0.45 0.435 0.227 0.423 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Eureka 87.03 59.39 13.0 0.56 13.0 0.729 13.0 34.7 3.4 2.5 4 3 1.0 0.485 0.416 0.887 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Parkway Central 85.41 59.51 14.6 0.0 14.6 0.726 14.6 11.3 7.5 25.0 7 23 0.362 0.721 0.494 0.508 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Notre Dame 84.74 35.1 15.3 0.0 15.3 0.604 15.3 2.7 29.1 14.0 8 27 0.196 0.857 0.218 0.8 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Kirkwood 84.2 44.07 15.8 0.46 15.8 0.51 15.8 16.0 3.8 29.0 2 22 0.912 0.691 0.135 0.548 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Nerinx Hall 80.62 49.79 19.4 0.48 19.4 0.576 19.4 6.8 45.0 7.7 11 18 0.927 0.68 0.393 0.796 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Westminster 79.34 49.87 20.7 0.38 20.7 0.567 20.7 6.8 14.3 42.0 17 7 0.843 0.794 0.306 0.16 False late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0
Parkway South 79.07 46.27 20.9 0.13 20.9 0.62 20.9 21.6 2.5 39.1 5 26 0.614 0.55 0.215 0.397 False late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0
Cor Jesu Academy 78.71 57.2 21.3 0.56 21.3 0.696 21.3 19.1 9.0 37.5 5 5 1.0 0.615 0.304 0.439 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Fox High School 78.44 41.14 21.6 0.0 21.6 0.575 21.6 19.7 45.0 0.0 11 33 0.185 0.516 0.321 0.905 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
St. Dominic 78.3 46.13 21.7 0.0 21.7 0.548 21.7 17.1 16.1 31.8 8 14 0.499 0.62 0.271 0.425 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Lafayette 76.99 46.05 23.0 0.56 23.0 0.585 23.0 9.2 45.0 16.5 4 11 1.0 0.742 0.62 0.654 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Francis Howell North 76.44 37.33 23.6 0.0 23.6 0.57 23.6 25.6 29.0 16.0 14 28 0.296 0.489 0.412 0.702 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
MICDS 76.05 57.49 24.0 0.56 24.0 0.546 24.0 19.7 45.0 8.8 8 2 1.0 0.657 0.453 0.82 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Northwest 71.27 44.48 28.7 0.08 28.7 0.514 28.7 38.0 6.4 42.0 11 16 0.57 0.387 0.272 0.309 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0
Wentzville 70.45 36.7 29.5 0.34 29.5 0.466 29.5 14.9 45.0 29.8 8 15 0.807 0.745 0.287 0.531 False late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Parkway West 69.89 34.84 30.1 0.56 30.1 0.311 30.1 38.0 12.0 42.0 12 12 1.0 0.07 0.169 0.143 True feeder_pair_offense 0 0 0
Marquette 69.2 42.06 30.8 0.46 30.8 0.513 30.8 38.0 13.8 42.0 7 9 0.91 0.292 0.133 0.401 True feeder_pair_offense 0 0 0
Lindbergh 65.41 37.96 34.6 0.0 34.6 0.374 34.6 38.0 23.8 42.0 9 24 0.326 0.238 0.118 0.324 True feeder_pair_offense 0 0 0
Oakville 65.21 37.38 34.8 0.0 34.8 0.445 34.8 38.0 45.0 21.4 12 32 0.107 0.333 0.296 0.655 True feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
St. Joseph's Academy 63.64 39.27 36.4 0.56 36.4 0.371 36.4 38.0 34.1 38.7 8 6 1.0 0.48 0.716 0.378 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0
Incarnate Word 63.5 26.81 36.5 0.0 36.5 0.307 36.5 38.0 29.5 42.0 7 30 0.099 0.125 0.233 0.286 True feeder_pair_offense 0 0 0
Ladue Horton Watkins 62.82 41.61 37.2 0.56 37.2 0.359 37.2 38.0 45.0 30.2 9 4 1.0 0.371 0.377 0.544 True feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
Ursuline Academy 62.07 35.25 37.9 0.56 37.9 0.268 37.9 38.0 35.5 42.0 6 19 1.0 0.403 0.201 0.23 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0
Francis Howell 61.48 36.38 38.5 0.06 38.5 0.315 38.5 28.7 45.0 42.0 8 17 0.55 0.527 0.561 0.312 False late_underclass_surge_relief 0 0 0
Webster Groves 59.96 37.15 40.0 0.0 40.0 0.309 40.0 38.0 45.0 37.1 10 20 0.448 0.382 0.257 0.438 True feeder_pair_offense;late_underclass_surge_relief;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0
O'Fallon 59.84 35.45 40.2 0.56 40.2 0.259 40.2 38.0 45.0 39.1 9 8 1.0 0.373 0.389 0.477 True feeder_pair_offense;returning_draw_relief 0 0 0