backtest__backtest_team_rank_errors
Backtest holdout (2024-25 → 2026) · 37 of 37 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| team_name | actual_finish_rank | finish_tier | prior_finish_pred | prior_finish_err | roster_pred | roster_err | adjusted_pred | adjusted_err | composite_pred | composite_err |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eureka | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Ladue Horton Watkins | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 16 |
| John Burroughs | 3 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | -2 | 1 | -2 | 1 | -2 |
| Cor Jesu Academy | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| MICDS | 5 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 | -3 | 2 | -3 | 4 | -1 |
| St. Joseph's Academy | 6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 15 |
| Visitation Academy | 7 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6 | -1 |
| O'Fallon | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 29 | 21 |
| Westminster | 9 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 7 | -2 | 7 | -2 | 8 | -1 |
| St. Dominic | 10 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| Lafayette | 11 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| Northwest | 12 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
| Villa Duchesne | 13 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| Marquette | 14 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 10 | -4 | 10 | -4 | 17 | 3 |
| Wentzville | 15 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 26 | 11 |
| Rockwood Summit | 16 | 3 | 13 | -3 | 12 | -4 | 12 | -4 | 7 | -9 |
| Parkway West | 17 | 4 | 12 | -5 | 13 | -4 | 13 | -4 | 32 | 15 |
| Parkway South | 18 | 4 | 26 | 8 | 26 | 8 | 24 | 6 | 10 | -8 |
| Ursuline Academy | 19 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 30 | 11 |
| Webster Groves | 20 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 25 | 5 |
| Lindbergh | 21 | 4 | 24 | 3 | 25 | 4 | 26 | 5 | 22 | 1 |
| Nerinx Hall | 22 | 4 | 18 | -4 | 18 | -4 | 19 | -3 | 9 | -13 |
| Kirkwood | 23 | 4 | 22 | -1 | 22 | -1 | 22 | -1 | 16 | -7 |
| Francis Howell | 24 | 4 | 17 | -7 | 17 | -7 | 17 | -7 | 27 | 3 |
| Francis Howell North | 25 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 29 | 4 | 24 | -1 |
| Francis Howell Central | 26 | 4 | 25 | -1 | 24 | -2 | 25 | -1 | 20 | -6 |
| Clayton | 27 | 4 | 29 | 2 | 29 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 14 | -13 |
| Parkway Central | 28 | 4 | 23 | -5 | 23 | -5 | 21 | -7 | 2 | -26 |
| Fox High School | 29 | 4 | 33 | 4 | 31 | 2 | 31 | 2 | 19 | -10 |
| Oakville | 30 | 4 | 32 | 2 | 32 | 2 | 32 | 2 | 23 | -7 |
| Notre Dame | 31 | 4 | 27 | -4 | 27 | -4 | 27 | -4 | 31 | 0 |
| Incarnate Word | 32 | 4 | 30 | -2 | 30 | -2 | 30 | -2 | 34 | 2 |
| Parkway North | 33 | 4 | 31 | -2 | ||||||
| Pattonville | 34 | 4 | 34 | 0 | ||||||
| Whitfield | 35 | 4 | 35 | 0 | ||||||
| Edwardsville | 36 | 4 | 37 | 1 | 33 | -3 | 33 | -3 | 33 | -3 |
| Belleville West | 37 | 4 | 38 | 1 | 34 | -3 | 34 | -3 | 28 | -9 |