awards_tune_results
Forward output (2025-26 → 2027) · 11 of 11 rows · imported 2026-06-08 15:22
| scheme | weights | mae_all | mae_top20 | within3_top20 | mae_high_award_loss | n_high_award_loss | mae_actual_drop_teams | n_drop_teams | delta_top20_vs_no_awards | prior_mae_top20 | talent_loss_threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| state_heavy_aa2x | conf=1/1/1/poy2 st=4/8 aa=16 rate=0.02 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 2.38 | 8 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 10 |
| flat_aa2x_468 | conf=1/1/1/poy2 st=3/6 aa=12 rate=0.022 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 2.89 | 9 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 8 |
| geometric_1248 | conf=1/1/1/poy2 st=2/4 aa=8 rate=0.028 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3 | 11 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 6 |
| moderate_3510 | conf=1/1/1/poy2 st=3/5 aa=10 rate=0.024 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3 | 11 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 7 |
| default | conf=2/1/1/poy3 st=4/8 aa=16 rate=0.022 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3.3 | 11 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 10 |
| geometric_conf_aa2x | conf=2/1/1/poy3 st=4/8 aa=16 rate=0.018 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3.3 | 11 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 10 |
| aa2x_low_rate | conf=2/1/1/poy3 st=4/8 aa=16 rate=0.015 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3.3 | 11 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 10 |
| tuned_holdout | conf=2/1/1/poy3 st=4/8 aa=16 rate=0.022 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3.3 | 11 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 10 |
| conf_nuance_aa2x | conf=2/1/1/poy3 st=3/6 aa=12 rate=0.022 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3.42 | 13 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 8 |
| aa2x_high_rate | conf=2/1/1/poy3 st=3/6 aa=12 rate=0.03 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3.42 | 13 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 8 |
| legacy_flat_1234 | conf=1/1/1/poy1 st=2/3 aa=4 rate=0.035 | 3.68 | 4.05 | 9/19 | 3.67 | 13 | 4.14 | 15 | 0.16 | 2.47 | 5 |